TSE:SJR.B

Shaw Communication (B) (SJR.B.TO)

40.48
+0.01 (0.02%)
as of Apr 4, 2023, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
291 watching
0
TOP PICK

The take out price is $40.50. Thinks that risk-reward it is pretty favourable. 6-9 months to closing with a double digits return opportunity. Good odds of the deal going through. Precedent transactions with BCE taking over Manitoba Telecom and others in the states. Rogers is willing to divest wireless division. Even if the deal falls appart, the downside should not be too bad, especially with the dividend. (Analysts’ price target is $39.08)

SELL

The Rogers/Shaw deal will most likely go through. It is already reflected in the share price. You could wait for the deal to close or just sell it now as there is not much more upside.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Jul 13/20, Up 59%) The takeover bid by Rogers helped them. Liked the low valuation, dividend and the sector. Did sell around these prices. Prefers to lock in profits in case something goes wrong with the deal.

PARTIAL SELL

It's a long-term investment. Rogers wants to take it over, and the shares integrated quickly. They haven't re-rated to the Rogers takeover price. So, this is a way to discount the regulator risk for the deal going through. Let's say there's a 50/50 chance, because regulators may not approve the deal due to concentration of ownership. If the deal doesn't happen, Shaw shares will get hit hard. Best to take profits now and don't wait for the exact Rogers' price. Then, wait to see if the deal goes through; if it doesn't, you can buy back those shares.

BUY
The takeover pleasantly surprised him, but the shares don't reflect the Bell offer (which is pending approval). The business combination makes a lot of sense. Concessions made need to be made to get federal approval, but not a worry. The Bell offer is around $40, so there's a lot of upside if the deal passes. Definitely hang on, because he expects the deal to pass.
SELL
Risk in every deal that it doesn't go through. Regulators will have a field day, especially if they make you sell the crown jewels to satisfy conditions. Don't try to be a hero. Take your money and run. Better opportunities elsewhere.
SELL

Deal with Rogers is good for SJR. Wouldn't want to hold the stock if the deal doesn't go through. After such a runup, you're often better off to take your money and put it aside.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 13/20, Up 53%) He likes the takeout. It is trading like it is a 65% chance the deal gets done but he thinks it is 80-85% certain it will get done.
TOP PICK

They participate in the spread when the deal is announced. Shaw is trading 24% the price Rogers has offered. This is due to the fear of regulatory intervention. Thinks that the real concern is on the wireless side, and this deal works without the wireless side. They can divest Shaw's wireless side and still be a good deal. Thinks there is a 85% chance of the deal going through. (Analysts’ price target is $37.92)

COMMENT

There is a good dividend on shaw. It could be a year before the deal closes. It is hard to know all the details and there is stock list. The market is pretty good at pricing in where value is. It is not a no-brainer to buy it here in terms of the Rogers deal.

COMMENT

Trading below the offer. People are worried about regulatory approval. He likes the deal. He owns both Shaw and Rogers.

SELL ON STRENGTH

Rogers offered $40/share, and Shaw is trading at $34 now. She expects concessions with Rogers likely divesting some assets to meet federal regulatory approval, a process that will last for a year or more. Hold Shaw for now, then sell as shares approach $40.

TOP PICK
Capital preservation and safety first. Wireless build is going well, gaining subscribers. Patriarch passed away last year, paving the way for a new direction. Collect the yield while you wait for something good to happen. Yield is 5.21%. (Analysts’ price target is $27.33)
TOP PICK
He likes all the telecoms: stable earnings, good dividends with growth, free cash flow growth and well-positioned for 5G. He owns all the telcos, but Shaw's PE is the cheapest. This sector is a screaming buy. Shaw has paid down debt so the balance sheet is much better. (Analysts’ price target is $27.33)
HOLD
It has a fairly good dividend. An interesting company in the space with management changes. They have tried to get into different markets like IPTV. Overall, its valuation is find. There are better opportunities within the sector but there is no reason to sell if you hold it.
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