Stock price when the opinion was issued
It is certainly not beyond possibility. Bloomberg default ratio is 7.36%, which is very high for that indicator. Cash flow was negative in the last quarter, yet 12-month interest expenses were $36.1M net. With its small size and Cuban and other issues, we are not sure it could raise a lot of money with a dilutive equity issue. Most debt matures in 2026. Certainly any investment here needs to be considered extremely risky.
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The market does not want to pay very much for the outlook in a foreign country, Madagascar. They have some decent holdings in Canada but he does to see much upside in fair market value. Maybe you cross your fingers and hold on and hope. He is not that interested in this stock.