Opinions
Michael Smedley
Sherritt International Corp.
S-T
COMMENT
Jan 18, 2018
$1.310
Stock price when the opinion was issued
integrated mines
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This is a zero, although not priced there yet. That is where it is going. It has been a lousy company for a long time. Madagascar will prove to be their undoing. They defaulted on their debt in February. Their debt is currently worth 54 cents on the dollar so the stock is worth zero.
integrated mines
RISKY
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research
It is certainly not beyond possibility. Bloomberg default ratio is 7.36%, which is very high for that indicator. Cash flow was negative in the last quarter, yet 12-month interest expenses were $36.1M net. With its small size and Cuban and other issues, we are not sure it could raise a lot of money with a dilutive equity issue. Most debt matures in 2026. Certainly any investment here needs to be considered extremely risky.
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Recently did a debt issuance, a little odd in that it was diluted and didn't reduce the debt much. If people know there is an issue coming, it tends not to do well. He likes that this company has world beating, historic competence in high-end nickel technology. Has a sense that the high-end they are capable of is something that can actually reduce the cobalt content in a battery. Trading at $1.30. With a very, very big portion of their debt solved, they have been taken down from 30% to 12% of Ambatovy. They’re still strong in Cuba. Also has nickel and cobalt in both places.