
TSE:RCI.B
This summary was created by AI, based on 28 opinions in the last 12 months.
Rogers Communications (RCI.B) presents a mixed outlook among analysts, with the consensus indicating a belief in the sustainability of its dividend, supported by a relatively low payout ratio compared to peers. However, there are several challenges, including high debt levels of approximately $40 billion, intense competition within the telecom sector, and a mature business model that demands significant capital expenditures. The performance of Rogers’ sports assets has become a focal point, with analysts debating their future monetization potential. While some experts express bearish sentiments due to weak immigration and price pressures, others appreciate the company's hidden value and the recent strategies to reduce capex and improve free cash flow. The general sentiment reflects a cautious optimism, mostly aiming for defensive positioning in a challenging industry environment.
Sell Rogers (RCI.B-T) and buy Bell (BCE-T)?A really interesting question, particularly with the 1st salvo we’ve had from the trade negotiations were the US has said that they want to have greater access to our telecommunications industry. In that case, he’s not sure you want to own any of these. His preference would be with Bell, but only because it is dominant within the wireless industry. He feels Bell would be a little more secure in the longer-term.
A new CEO with a terrific track record. Telus (T-T) is the breeding ground for smart capital allocation. This company has flatlined for years and has been a revolving door for CEOs. If it all works out, he thinks there will be a better cost cuts coming. There has been an improving focus on customer service. Feels the debt is now under control. He is pretty certain there is going to be a dividend increase in 2018. Dividend yield of 3%. (Analysts’ price target is $63.)
(A Top Pick Feb 24/16. Up 25%.) He recently took profits, switching out of the defensive telecoms and into more cyclical areas. Trading at about 10 or 11 times enterprise value over EBITDA, a little more expensive than a 10-year average. 3.3% dividend yield. He is concerned their dividend growth rate is probably going to be a little weak at 3 or 4% going forward.
The opportunity here is that smart phone penetration in Canada is still lower than the US. Canadians continue to do more and more on their phones, and which tends to be on the data side. Because of this, average revenue per user is going up. The negative is their lack of ability to raise the dividend. They have a new CEO and although he doesn’t expect the CEO to shake up the landscape in the near term, we just have to wait and see. You can own this in your portfolio and over the long-term you are going to be fine. The dividend is safe, but this is a fairly slow growth business. Dividend yield of 3.5%.
This is down about 13% from its 2016 highs. This is because of self-inflicted stuff. They wrote off the Shomi business they had with Shaw. Hired a new CEO, which he thinks is a good acquisition for them. Also, wrote off the IPTV business, preferring to go with Comcast in the US, so the drain on capital goes away and in the future, they just pay per user. They’ll probably increase their dividend this year, which is the 1st time in a couple of years. Dividend yield of 3.65%. (Analysts’ price target is $57.38.)
Canadian telecom space is so tightly knit that outside competition coming in has a low probability. You are pretty much okay owning any of the Canadian telecoms, as long as you don’t bet the farm. If looking for yield, this would be low on his list. It is about 3.5%, whereas a BCE (BCE-T) or Telus (T-T) gives into the high 4%s. This company hasn’t raised their dividend since Q1 of 2015. They also carry more debt. He likes what they are doing on the wireless side. Average revenue per user is going up, which will continue.
Not his favourite stock in the sector. He prefers BCE (BCE-T) or Telus (T-T). Has an interim president. An incoming president will be very, very important, having to get along with both the board and family. The family has, and wants, involvement. Chances are the best person for the job is not the son, daughter, etc. Dividend yield of 3.6%.
In Canada, you don’t have a wide choice of telcos to pick from. Smart phone penetration in Canada still has room to grow, which bodes well for them. The average revenue per user is on the rise for all telcos. A lot of this is already priced in, and the stock has started to sell off a little, like all the telcos. It has a fairly high debt level, so dividend growth has not been great, however the share price has moved quite a bit.
He is diversified in this group. This one has been the outperformer. Now its value is in line with the other three so it is not the screaming buy it was in January. A challenge is the spectrum that is coming up. It is not his favourite of the 4.