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Pembina Pipeline CorpPPL.TOTOP PICKSep 03, 2025Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 09, 2026. Market Open.
Exposure to the 4 horsemen of Western Canadian growth: gas, LNG, condensate, and crude. Partnership with META. Heartland Extraction Plant should see more volumes. Leverage to the pipeline going west out of Alberta. Exposure to Cedar LNG facility under construction.
Low double-digit internal growth, plus dividend yield, gives you ~15% annual compound return. Yield is 4.65%.
They will benefit from the long-term investments that Canadian government is making in Western Canada, like growing oil and natural gas production (LNG Canada). They have a good track record of completing projects on time and on budget. Always a good dividend payer, now at 4.5%. The midstreams are a safe way to play ongoing production in Western Canada.
There are some overhangs on deals with KKR and Apollo but it is well run and has the best growth prospects of similar companies. The coming increase of LNG is good for Pembina as the Canadian infrastructure gets larger. Even at higher prices today it is showing strength.
A name for a good dividend and safety. Pipelines are not quite as good as utilities, because they're perceived as being commodity-sensitive (even though they're really not).
You'll get your dividend, and the safety means you can sleep at night (and that's worth something). You can get diversification via funds and ETFs.
Head-scratcher as to why it hasn't moved along with TRP and ENB. Perhaps because those 2 names are the biggies where $$ flocks to in the sector. Unparalleled strategic positioning for nat gas and oil infrastructure in Canada. 80% of cashflows are contracted fee-for-service, and this funds the dividend. Good capital appreciation plus dividend growth.
(Analysts’ price target is $58.22)Cloud on new contracted price for Alliance Pipeline was overblown by analysts, impact is minimal going forward. Cedar LNG and other levers for growth. Yield is 5.50%, and growing ~3% a year.