Stockchase Opinions

Rebecca TeltscherPembina Pipeline CorpPPL.TOTOP PICKSep 03, 2025

Head-scratcher as to why it hasn't moved along with TRP and ENB. Perhaps because those 2 names are the biggies where $$ flocks to in the sector. Unparalleled strategic positioning for nat gas and oil infrastructure in Canada. 80% of cashflows are contracted fee-for-service, and this funds the dividend. Good capital appreciation plus dividend growth.


Cloud on new contracted price for Alliance Pipeline was overblown by analysts, impact is minimal going forward. Cedar LNG and other levers for growth. Yield is 5.50%, and growing ~3% a year.

(Analysts’ price target is $58.22)
$52.04

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$65.62

As of Jun 30, 2026. Market Open.

pipelines
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BUY

Western Canada has many opportunities for more production and PPL is in the middle of that. Is a decent long-term gold with a good dividend.

WEAK BUY
vs. Altagas

Both benefit from AI centre demand. Pembina is building a 1.8 gigawatt natural gas plant in Alberta. Half of ALA's business is in the US, regulated utilities, in Virginia--the world capital of data centre traffic. ALA also has activity in Western Canada. ALA's growth rate is higher than Pembina. ALA gets the slight edge.

BUY

All energy stocks have come off because we've had (cynically) a "peace scare" in the Middle East. Energy sector will continue to be robust.

Also likes, and owns, TOU.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 24/25, Up 36%)

A defensive holding. Surprised by how well the pipeline stocks have done. War has definitely had an impact on energy infrastructure. Still a standout to grow, with lower valuation and excess capital.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 23/25, Up 31%)

Pipelines and utilities have soared, because of energy demand from data centres. PPL is quality with a healthy balance sheet and growth outlook. Most of their projects are already sanctioned. 

BUY

Their PE is lower than TC and ENB. Better scale and diversification from all peers.

PARTIAL SELL

Likes the business of pipelines -- local monopoly, contracted cashflows. Problem today is that their value is not lost on investors. Trades at 22x forward PE, yield is 4-ish%. A HALO stock, which AI can't replace. He'd trim, look for a better valuation to enter.

He owns TRP.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 15/25, Up 34%)

Is bullish in gas with LNG exports, which PPL is exposed to. PPL's contracts are long-term which pays the stable, growing dividend.

HOLD
APO's 40% stake in the gas division.

APO has pretty smart people, and they're seeing an opportunity here. Purchase was from KKR, so nothing much changes.

As for PPL itself, trading a bit expensive with growth catalysts of 5-7%. Nice, visible project backlog. Nice dividend. Wouldn't add here, but you'll do OK if you own it.

Still thinks KEY is the better buy.

BUY

The chart looks good, bouncing off a low in the low-$50s at the end of 2025 and has since broken above $60 to an all-time higher. There's strength across the board in energy, a strong sector.

PARTIAL BUY

Well managed, decent distribution. Attractive opportunity today, but you have to have the medium-term view that the oil-price shock will be persistent. He's a buyer, but you have to be careful. Average in over time.

TOP PICK

It is not a pure energy stock. It has done quite well and its breakout from consolidation is supported by some good purchases. Its dividend of 4.6% is good quality and it has some good growth as well.      Buy 11  Hold 6  Sell 1

(Analysts’ price target is $62.17)
BUY
PPL vs. ALA

PPL is more pure-play pipeline infrastructure. Better dividend yield. Contracted cashflow gives you earnings and revenue visibility. This would be his preference.

ALA gives you a mix of energy infrastructure (~45%) with regulated utilities (~55%). Utility component gives more stability, but lower dividend. He's not a huge fan of utilities unless they're tied to AI infrastructure buildout.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 24/25, Up 22%)

(Note the shortish timeframe.)  Delivering what he wanted. Gives the portfolio some ballast and generates some income.

PARTIAL SELL
One of his top two positions, about 10%. Rebalance?

Great operator. Might need to raise some equity fairly soon, as its recent acquisition will need to be financed. Recent downgrades. Good dividend yield. Good for a long-term investment.

Note:  Owned by his colleague, Christine Poole.