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Pembina Pipeline CorpPPL.TOTOP PICKJul 15, 2024Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 09, 2026. Market Open.
Exposure to the 4 horsemen of Western Canadian growth: gas, LNG, condensate, and crude. Partnership with META. Heartland Extraction Plant should see more volumes. Leverage to the pipeline going west out of Alberta. Exposure to Cedar LNG facility under construction.
Low double-digit internal growth, plus dividend yield, gives you ~15% annual compound return. Yield is 4.65%.
They will benefit from the long-term investments that Canadian government is making in Western Canada, like growing oil and natural gas production (LNG Canada). They have a good track record of completing projects on time and on budget. Always a good dividend payer, now at 4.5%. The midstreams are a safe way to play ongoing production in Western Canada.
There are some overhangs on deals with KKR and Apollo but it is well run and has the best growth prospects of similar companies. The coming increase of LNG is good for Pembina as the Canadian infrastructure gets larger. Even at higher prices today it is showing strength.
A name for a good dividend and safety. Pipelines are not quite as good as utilities, because they're perceived as being commodity-sensitive (even though they're really not).
You'll get your dividend, and the safety means you can sleep at night (and that's worth something). You can get diversification via funds and ETFs.
Likes it as a core income name. Uniquely placed in Western Canada to benefit from rising nat gas production. Guided to 4-6% EBITDA growth through 2026. Self-funding, with backlog and projects in place to support growth. Implies dividend can also grow in mid-single-digit range. Yield is 5.35%, track record of increasing dividend.
(Analysts’ price target is $55.33)Will benefit from increased LNG export facility takeaway capacity. Declining interest rates will be a tailwind for the sector.