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Pembina Pipeline CorpPPL.TOTOP PICKApr 06, 2023Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 09, 2026. Market Open.
Exposure to the 4 horsemen of Western Canadian growth: gas, LNG, condensate, and crude. Partnership with META. Heartland Extraction Plant should see more volumes. Leverage to the pipeline going west out of Alberta. Exposure to Cedar LNG facility under construction.
Low double-digit internal growth, plus dividend yield, gives you ~15% annual compound return. Yield is 4.65%.
They will benefit from the long-term investments that Canadian government is making in Western Canada, like growing oil and natural gas production (LNG Canada). They have a good track record of completing projects on time and on budget. Always a good dividend payer, now at 4.5%. The midstreams are a safe way to play ongoing production in Western Canada.
There are some overhangs on deals with KKR and Apollo but it is well run and has the best growth prospects of similar companies. The coming increase of LNG is good for Pembina as the Canadian infrastructure gets larger. Even at higher prices today it is showing strength.
A name for a good dividend and safety. Pipelines are not quite as good as utilities, because they're perceived as being commodity-sensitive (even though they're really not).
You'll get your dividend, and the safety means you can sleep at night (and that's worth something). You can get diversification via funds and ETFs.
PPL provides key infrastructure to the energy sector in Western Canada. It operates 2.8 mmboed of pipeline capacity along with 11 million barrels of tank inventory and over 100 mboed of rail terminal capacity. It trades at 8x earnings, under 2x book value, and boasts a ROE of 19%. The dividend is great and backed by a payout ratio of 50% of cash flow. We like that cash reserves are growing while debt is aggressively being retired and shares bought back. We recommend placing a stop loss at $41, looking to achieve $52.50 -- upside potential of 18%. Yield 5.7%
(Analysts’ price target is $52.27)