Stockchase Opinions

Bob StodgellPower CorpPOW.TOTOP PICKMay 20, 2008

Down 17% year to date. Insurance industry has been under great pressure, mainly because of the portfolio. This company has wonderful businesses and great long-term management. It will come back. Increased their dividends by 20% last quarter, which indicates they are sure things are going to improve. 3.5% yield.
$33.15

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 25/25, Up 48%)

Growing at 11% compounded. Trading at 11x PE for 2027. Good dividend, which tends to go up. NAV up 46% in Q4. More to go. He'd be adding.

WAIT

Getting a bit pricey. Lots of great assets, with the insurance business being the engine. Great asset management business. Venture capital component. 

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 18/25, Up 2%)

The US-Iran war triggered a major sector rotation. The insurance sector weakened and the RSI fell. He sold it when the war started. It has pulled back and is sideways. 

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 05/25, Up 30%)

New management, stock's gaining a new lease on life, and market's rewarding that. One thing against it is its huge holding in a mutual fund company, when we don't know where the stock market's going to go from here. Its insurance holding still looks OK. 

No clue where growth is going to come from, but he's curious. Inclined to stay in the stock as market shows it some love.

DON'T BUY

It could be an uptrend since early 2024, but recently the chart looks weak. There's some danger. It's going down. It needs to base for a while, then rise before he would step in. 

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 23/25, Up 58%)

Recent selloff. Perhaps as a breather after the "everything else" trade, or in sympathy with HOOD and crypto (exposure via Wealthsimple). That exposure can give another 30% upside over next 5 years (if HOOD really works). Organic growth and solid EPS growth. 12% growth rate. 

DON'T BUY

Very well run, long-term focus. Major asset is GWO, also owns IGM. The third leg of the stool is fintech and alternative investments, and amounts to less than 5% of total assets. You can buy more of a pure-play alternative asset manager out in the market (think BAM, KKR, or APO). PE is ~13.5x, a bit rich for this type of business. Nice dividend ~3.5%.

His preference is to own GWO, which he does.

BUY

Pullback is probably more related to the sector and not the company itself. It owns GWO and IGM, both very good cornerstone businesses. Invested in Wealthsimple, growing very quickly, could represent hidden value. In a way, it's hedged in case fintech Wealthsimple disrupts its legacy businesses. 

Very robust, 3-legged stool. Solid income, with visible runway of dividend growth. Pullback is buyable.

PARTIAL SELL
Purchased in 2021 for young investor's TFSA, 29% annual rate of return. Sell part or all?

For upwards of a 20% position, he's generally comfortable holding in a long-term portfolio such as a TFSA. Especially if it's a stable, core anchor such as this name. Stock's had a great run over last 3-4 years, multiple's expanded from 9x PE to 12x. Doing everything right, but it is getting expensive.

He has been trimming, and you may want to do the same. Especially as there are no tax implications in a TFSA for selling. A 10-20% weighting in this name in a TFSA is appropriate.

DON'T BUY

Its main assets are GWO and IGM. Those are owned in a holding company called Power Financial. Then there's one level up, which is POW. When you go up to the holding company, the market always attributes a discount to them. That introduces a variable that you can't control, as the discount can widen or narrow.

With this stock, you're two levels removed from the operating assets. Similar to the Loblaw/George Weston setup. He prefers to get closer to the source, and the ideal asset in this mix is GWO, which he owns.

TOP PICK
no price target

Insurance underperformed the last 6 months but looks interesting now. POW has risen to the top of the Canadian relative strength stocks, #1. POW is holding in while other sectors are cumbling.

DON'T BUY

He bought a lot of this 1.5 years ago. Since then, shares have run up. POW's main asset is Great-West Life, hitting the ball out of the park with their Enpower prodict. POW also owns Investors Group, also doing well. But the money has been made in POW. He has sold a lot of POW shares.

HOLD
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

It is hard to ignore the strong momentum shares of POW have had. Trading at 11X forward earnings with results that continue to look strong, we would be fine with owning the name. Even if it starts to level out from here, the 3.6% yield doesn't hurt.
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HOLD
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

It is hard to ignore the strong momentum shares of POW have had. Trading at 11X forward earnings with results that continue to look strong, we would be fine with owning the name. Even if it starts to level out from here, the 3.6% yield doesn't hurt.
Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free  

HOLD
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research

It is hard to ignore the strong momentum shares of POW have had. Trading at 11X forward earnings with results that continue to look strong, we would be fine with owning the name. Even if it starts to level out from here, the 3.6% yield doesn't hurt.
Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free