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TSE:OTEX
(Top Pick Feb 1/13, Up 82.89%) The multiple got revised higher. It was growth by acquisition, but now the market thinks they have a good migration strategy into the cloud. A good story and they are delivering. 11 times earnings is reasonable, but they are at 16 times now. As they migrate into the cloud the multiple should increase, but he took some money off the table for a while. It is a show me stock now.
Very good stock. Sold his holdings too soon, because of the lack of organic growth in their last quarter. Normally he doesn’t put a lot of value in growth by acquisition, however in this environment of low interest rates, growth by acquisition stories have worked and probably will work for a while. With their last acquisition, you are going to see EPS growth very nicely. A weaker Cdn$ is good for this company. They have R&D and head office costs in Cdn$ while their revenues are about 95% US and Euro $’s.
When they made their recent acquisition, it really jumped up on his radar as a pretty good value creation. An accretive deal. Valuation discount versus its peers is quite substantial. This, coupled with their new Red Oxygen product that they are coming out with has a lot of different modules for the products that they have, should do quite well for them in the next 2 years. Trading in the range of 14-15 times next year’s earnings. Peers are in the range of 19 or 20 times. Yield of 1.4%.
Likes this. A little bit on the unglamorous side right now because there is not a ton of organic growth but ROE is high. Building a cash base from which they can do further acquisitions. With all their return on capital, there is going to be one of 2 or 3 things that are going to happen. They will do an acquisition, buy back stocks or raise their dividends.
Has quite an interesting looking chart. It shows a bit of a consolidation between May and August with an aggressive bottom forming at the end of August and is now coming back to the resistance level. In the short term, there’s a possibility of a return to the low $50. Wait to see if it can bounce off of that.
Have just changed CEOs so there is a bit of integration going on. Still about 40% exposed to Europe, which weighs on the stock on an ongoing basis. Have a lot of revenue drivers going forward. In an area called Enterprise Content Management and have done a good job here.Have just changed CEOs so there is a bit of integration going on. Still about 40% exposed to Europe, which weighs on the stock on an ongoing basis. Have a lot of revenue drivers going forward. In an area called Enterprise Content Management and have done a good job here.
Software has been a great sector to be focused on over the last 6-7 months. It is a sector that benefits as companies increase capital spending. A couple of months ago, the stock broke from $45 and traded to $52 and left a big gap in the chart. In the last 3-4 weeks, a lot of the higher multiple stocks pulled back a little coming into the end of the quarter. This one pulled back and closed the gap that it left in the chart. This is a pretty good entry point here. He would use $44-$45 as a Stop.