
TSE:OTEX
This summary was created by AI, based on 21 opinions in the last 12 months.
Open Text (OTEX) is facing skepticism from various analysts due to its weak organic growth, challenges posed by AI disruption, and a history of struggling with acquisitions. Many experts have pointed out that while the stock has a low price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of around 5.2x and offers a decent dividend yield of 4%, its long-term pattern has broken down significantly, leading to doubts about its future growth prospects. The stock is seen as being in the 'red zone', with significant resistance at the $35 mark, making it a tricky investment. Though some advice to consider the stock for potential recovery, there are recommendations to look elsewhere for better-performing tech companies, primarily due to ongoing management changes and concerns related to debt. The general outlook remains cautious as the company attempts to reposition itself amid industry shifts.
If you own it, hold on, but look for places to add at better levels -- $33 and, if you're really lucky ~$29. Embraced AI in a big way, which is expanding its own business as well as its clients. Able to maintain double-digit recurring growth rate.
His caveat is that, from the charts, price action not all that good.
Not a high-quality business. Struggles for organic growth. 10+% free cashflow yield. They should stop worrying about organic growth and just buy back shares, and they could buy back the whole company in less than 10 years. He might even send a note to that effect once a permanent CEO is appointed :)
It's business as usual in the meantime, under a temporary CEO who's been with the company for 25 years. Yield is 3.09%.
The caller asked about his opinion on both of these companies. Open Text is much larger and is very leveraged, Open Text did a large deal which is not at their comfort level. He has never owned it. Enghouse has no debt along with lots of cash. The CEO of Enghouse is on the board of Open Text. He owned Enghouse but sold last year. It is cheap so it's time to move on. It is a much much smaller version of CSU
That's a question every company should be asking. It takes a long time for technology to disrupt an industry. OTEX has to keep investing to stay relevant, and AI might be an opportunity. Not particularly high growth, but they chalk up free cashflow. Buys back 10% of shares every year.
Promised a lot, and if they can deliver it will be a great investment. That proof is still in the pudding. Doesn't have a strong opinion on whether management is capable of delivering. He agrees that market's lost confidence in its M&A ability. Expectations are quite low, so it would be easy to do well. A solid hold.
Our PAST TOP PICK with OTEX is progressing well. To remain disciplined we recommend trailing up the stop (from $42) to $48 at this time.