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Nexen Inc (NXY.TO)

DON'T BUY
Had a big break out in the last little while and is looking very strong. Would be little nervous jumping in at this time. If you are looking a little longer term, Covered Calls could be an interesting concept.
WATCH
Possible takeover target. If you own, wait and see.
WEAK BUY
In the event of a bounce in the price of oil, Suncor (SU-T), Talisman (TLM-T) and Nexen (NXY-T) would be 3 companies that would have good leverage.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sept 8/06. Up 3.1%.) Has some production coming on in the North Sea in the Buzzard field, which will have a huge impact on them.
BUY
Trades at a discount to its group. The Buzzard field just came on which should give and 35% -45% increase in production.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
A long-term hold, but not his favourite E&P company. Good quality assets and trades at a reasonable multiple. Have some good prospects to drill. If you own, Hold, otherwise look at it under $60.
BUY
Lots of room to go if the market decides to really go for the oils. At about 4 X Book Value, which is a little expensive in terms of oils. Trading at a fraction of his Fair Market Value calculations.
WATCH
Great oil/gas producer. Among the Canadian seniors they probably have the best growth profile. In the short term, he is cautious on oil, but the medium to long term is tremendously bullish.
DON'T BUY
Has had a good run lately. Slightly more expensive than the peer group. International suite of assets. Have one of the lowest finding costs in the group but very intermittent. Prefers more consistency.
BUY
It has exciting parts to it like Yemen as well as Canada and the North Sea. Could be a take out as it sells at a discount. Well run company and will do pretty well.
BUY
Has a very bullish view on long-term crude prices. Has done a very good job of growing its crude production.
HOLD
Predcts that the cash flow will be enormous. Great assets. If you own it stay with it. Should see an upside.
TOP PICK
Undervalued. Market has ignored for quite a while. Owns 43% of the Buzzard play in the North Sea which is expected to go on production in the 4th quarter. Also have great assets in the North Sea as well as coal bed methane in Alberta.
BUY
Your entry point depends on your view of oil prices. Current price would look good if a hurricane hit. Longer term, there is great growth coming from the North Sea and from the Gulf of Mexico. Valuation looks decent for a long-term hold to 07/08.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Involved in a number of very interesting projects as well as 50% ownership in an oil sands project. A good diversified package. Try to buy on weakness.
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