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Nexen Inc (NXY.TO)

BUY
Fits into the category of a seasonal oil/gas play. Expects a relative out-performance curve in the next little while. This can include Nexen NXY-T) Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ-T) and Talisman (TLM-T).
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sept 8/06. Up 9.3%.) Was an overlooked intermediate. Pretty fully priced and he has taken some money off the table.
HOLD
Gorgeous technical chart. A lot of new production coming on stream over the next 12 months.
BUY
Model price of $71.48 Just bought. It will fluxuate, don't worry about it.
BUY
35%-36% undervalued. Biggest disappointment in the earnings release was the Buzzard in the North Sea, which is a little slower to ramp up. Has been overlooked.
HOLD
Brought on Buzzard in January, which pushed the stock up. Over the next couple of years, large international players are going to have to make acquisitions.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Buy below $70. Good value stock. Trades roughly at 5 X its 07 cash flow and less than 5 X its 08 cash flow. Have excellent projects in front of it. 50% interest in the Opti (OPC-T) SAGD project.
TOP PICK
Trading below its net asset value. Showing great production growth from Buzzard, which he doesn't think is factored in to the price. Currently producing 100,000 barrels a day, which will double in the 2nd half of 2007. Cheap.
COMMENT
Hasn't been discounted quite as much as some of the others in their sector. Recent earnings reported were bit disappointing, but forecasted earnings are for $5’s and even $6 for 2008. Forecasted cash flow of $15 puts them at just over 4 X cash flow. Prefers others.
BUY
Came out with some very good numbers.
BUY
Has production coming on in the North Sea in the Buzzard field. Feels we are in a longer-term secular bull market. Good price.
BUY
Was a rumour that Total (TOT-N) would buy them for $90. Could be plausible. Very solid management. $70 might be a little rich but current price is interesting.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 16/06. Up 21.3%.) Expected to continue to perform pretty well. Has good assets.
HOLD
There is a rumour that Total (TOT-N) will buy it out at $90. This is the reason for the move. Not totally convinced that this will happen.
DON'T BUY
Has been on fire recently. Recently spiked on speculation that France’s Total SA may be an acquirer of it. Other names look much more reasonable.
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