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Nexen Inc (NXY.TO)

BUY
One of the cheapest in terms of a cash flow multiple at about 3.4 X ‘07 cash flows.
WEAK BUY
Has a lot of extra production coming on in the next year or two. Will sometimes trade at a discount to other companies. They tend to have great discoveries and then you wait to see what happens next. You have to buy for the long-term. Currently it has cut up to the other companies.
TOP PICK
A little cautious in the energy sector, but still sees some opportunity. Likes their global diversification. Very cheap, probably due to their production out of Yemen. Have never had any interruption. North Sea project should give 80,000 barrels a day and Long Lake should give them 30,000.
DON'T BUY
It had quite a bit of technical damage as far as price damage in May and traded well below the 200 Day Moving Average. Would like to see it above $65 before adding. Wouldn't chase this one.
TOP PICK
Really cheap on a cash flow metric. Trading at about 4 times EBITDA multiple. One of the lowest in its peer group. It has a lot of visible production coming on. Three major fields were it is going to grow are Buzzard, North Sea and Syncrude.
BUY
Likes their 50% holding in the Long Bow oil sands development. Able to generate synthetic natural gas rather than having to buy from the marketplace.
BUY
A diversified producer. Recently had a big find.
PAST TOP PICK
Nexum is steadily up 10%. This expert has not bought any more but still holds. They like Nexum because of their large holdings in the Gulf of Mexico which are in a prospective area. Nexum has oil sands. More of a pure oil play.
HOLD
Good company but close to target now.
TOP PICK
Probably one of the best oil companies in pure oil. Showing visible signs of production growth which is not been recognised by the market. The largest leaseholder in the Gulf of Mexico. Also in the oil sands.
TOP PICK
Have footprints in the Gulf of Mexico and are the largest leaseholder in this area. Also have oil sands as well as the Buzzard in the North Sea.
TOP PICK
Wouldn't rush out to buy right now, but would wait for weakness from time to time. This company has 3 large projects in 2006. The Buzzard oil field in the North Sea an one at Long Lake. Over the next 12 to 18 months, they will have substantial increase in their production both on a total basis and on a per share basis. Good management.
BUY
One of the better names in the senior oil stocks. There is an overlay risk because of their foreign activities.
DON'T BUY
Oil leveraged. Has a respectible level of profitability but there's an erosion in that profitability. Has exposure in the Gulf of Mexico and there's a hurricane building there.
BUY
Another oil with lots and lots of potential. With more production coming on it remains a decent bet.
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