
TSE:NPI
This summary was created by AI, based on 24 opinions in the last 12 months.
Northland Power Inc (NPI-T) has experienced a tumultuous period, primarily marked by a significant dividend cut that surprised many investors, leading to a temporary dip in confidence. Despite these challenges, there is optimism about the company's future, driven by two major offshore wind projects in Taiwan and the Baltic Sea expected to contribute positively to cash flow by 2027-2028. While some experts highlight the potential for the stock to recover as it de-risks with project completions, others remain cautious due to the company's previous execution challenges and current volatile market conditions. Analysts see a good long-term growth trajectory for renewables but emphasize that management must demonstrate consistent performance moving forward to regain investor trust and ensure price appreciation.
As far as the general energy is concerned, these stocks tend to be a little bit safer as power producers. You don’t get quite the volatility. This wouldn’t be one of his favourites, as he tends to go with some of the bigger power companies. This is a solid, safe one. If you want some energy exposure, without the volatility of oil and gas, this would be alright.
Toronto Dominion (TD-T) or Northland Power (NPI-T) for dividends? Doesn’t know if he would be adding money to banks at this time. You probably want to buy this one down here. Slightly riskier than the banks, but has come off quite a little bit with concerns about their European operations, which he thinks are going to be just fine.
Announced they were going to do a pretty big Buy, project Gemini, which is a lot to take on for a small company and the stock came down. As they started to execute and put their financing together, the stock had a nice rise. They then announced a wind farm project. This will be dilutive for them and will suppress the share price. All things being equal, he would be Buying down here because the same thing is going to happen again. These guys are very skilled at having projects come on time and on delivery.
Dividend is stable with a payout ratio of 100%. They are going through a CapX program right now with the Gemini project, an offshore European wind project. Comes online in 2017-2018, and when that happens the dividend payout ratio will immediately drop to 80%-85%. Management has a tendency to go through CapX cycles pretty extensively, so there is a potential that Gemini could come online, the payout ratio dips into the 80%s, and then they undertake another CapX program, which would keep the payout ratio high. They are always investing in high return/high growth businesses. 5.5% yield.
You won’t see much capital appreciation during the next year or 2. Somewhat fairly valued here. Longer term he expects you will see disproportionate dividend growth. This is an independent power producer with a significant renewable portfolio. The biggest asset for them is going to be their Gemini wind project, and offshore wind development in Europe. This doesn’t start kicking out cash flow until 2017, so in the interim, you have to wait for that to get built, and you are not going to see much in the way of dividend growth until a couple of years later.
Have 105% payout ratio. Not cheap. They are engaging in a project in Europe, which he thinks will help fund their growth, so through that, he believes the payout will actually be safe. You will probably only get your dividend for the next little while until the market starts to see that they are executing well on Gemini and that it is really worth the risks.
He is surprised at the price reaction. It is an independent renewable power company with renewable contract terms. Dividend is covered. They have a pretty good drip program so the payout is only 80% today. There is a bit of an equity raise coming up. He has a lot of respect for the management team. You should be very happy with the yield.