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TSE:NPI
This summary was created by AI, based on 25 opinions in the last 12 months.
Northland Power Inc. (NPI-T) faces significant challenges following a notable dividend cut that has impacted investor sentiment. The company has encountered delays in key offshore wind projects in Taiwan, generating skepticism regarding its management's ability to execute a coherent growth strategy. However, some experts highlight recent operational achievements, such as timely project completions and positive quarterly reports. The stock has shown signs of stabilization, with support levels forming around the recent lows. There are expectations for potential upside as new management demonstrates their capacity to enhance the company's strategic direction and address ongoing execution challenges.
Announced they were going to do a pretty big Buy, project Gemini, which is a lot to take on for a small company and the stock came down. As they started to execute and put their financing together, the stock had a nice rise. They then announced a wind farm project. This will be dilutive for them and will suppress the share price. All things being equal, he would be Buying down here because the same thing is going to happen again. These guys are very skilled at having projects come on time and on delivery.
Dividend is stable with a payout ratio of 100%. They are going through a CapX program right now with the Gemini project, an offshore European wind project. Comes online in 2017-2018, and when that happens the dividend payout ratio will immediately drop to 80%-85%. Management has a tendency to go through CapX cycles pretty extensively, so there is a potential that Gemini could come online, the payout ratio dips into the 80%s, and then they undertake another CapX program, which would keep the payout ratio high. They are always investing in high return/high growth businesses. 5.5% yield.
You won’t see much capital appreciation during the next year or 2. Somewhat fairly valued here. Longer term he expects you will see disproportionate dividend growth. This is an independent power producer with a significant renewable portfolio. The biggest asset for them is going to be their Gemini wind project, and offshore wind development in Europe. This doesn’t start kicking out cash flow until 2017, so in the interim, you have to wait for that to get built, and you are not going to see much in the way of dividend growth until a couple of years later.
Have 105% payout ratio. Not cheap. They are engaging in a project in Europe, which he thinks will help fund their growth, so through that, he believes the payout will actually be safe. You will probably only get your dividend for the next little while until the market starts to see that they are executing well on Gemini and that it is really worth the risks.
There is speculation that they are going to buy some fairly significant alternative wind energy assets that is pretty pricey. Stock cratered to $14 because they were going to issue something like $400 million worth of equity. Management has since tried to find creative solutions to finance the transaction, which will be very accretive. This could make a lot of sense for them. 6.7% dividend.
Utility, some wind and a lot of power and a bit of growth with some co-gen power. With all of these, the perception is that there is not much growth, you are just owning for yield. If he were buying a utility, this and Innergex Renewable Energy (INE-T) would be the 2 that he would own. Not a bad entry point. 7.4% yield is safe.