Netflix Inc.NFLXCOMMENTAug 13, 2015Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Nov 11, 2026. Market Open.
Streaming industry has become much more competitive. Difficulty maintaining a consistent, ongoing subscriber base (rather than intermittent), which also affects advertiser interest. Wait to see action on this issue before committing more $$.
Disclaimer: Not owned in segregated client accounts. However, her colleague John O'Connell owns it in the equity fund that he manages.
It's had a rough year, following the failed Warners bid. He still likes it, because the business is performing quite well. They have more subscribers and revenues outside the U.S. where they have little competition and are growing rapidly. Also, they replaced the head of content, and are looking to ad sports. Lots of ways to improve growth ahead.
(Analysts’ price target is $86.35)The fundamentals are as good or better as people have hoped. But there are worries that people are watching YouTube and no longer Netflix, but this is not in the numbers. These things reverse very quickly. Look at Google's stock. He thinks Netflix will grow at double digits for many years.
Trading at about 500X earnings. It has great content. Have put up some really impressive numbers on new subscribers. She is willing to pay up for growth, but this one is a bit much. The problem is that so much of the value you are paying today for the stock doesn’t happen until much further into the future, so you are putting all those growth expectations that you are paying for today, and if it doesn’t happen that is where you are losing a lot of money.