Stock price when the opinion was issued
At the end of the day, being a manufacturer is quite tough. Plus, they're in Canada. Significant amount of debt. Counting on smaller levels of government making orders, but there's not a lot of $$ to go around. These buses are a big capital expenditure, and it's hard to justify that in a budget. No dividend.
Instead look for a company that produces component parts at low cost, but very important to the vehicle. That component would have an element of pricing power.
Struggled over the years. Good exposure to EVs. Problem is lots of leverage. As well, a bus can't be shipped if it's missing even 1 component; it has to wait. Exposed to tariffs, as it relies on US for some of those parts.
Management's done well refinancing debt and working through problems. If problems can be resolved, could have very high performance over next few years.
Competition has withered away. Pays no dividend. He's held this through some tough periods. The problem with a seat suppliers seems to be resolved. Huge backlog. They can withstand tariffs. If they deliver some buses in Q2, 3 and 4, the stock will look good in 12 months.
(Analysts’ price target is $20.50)One of only 2 names she owns with no dividend. For her to do that, she really has to have conviction on the company and its stock price trajectory. Biggest segment is manufacturing transit buses, also does coach buses. Supply chain issue with seats is slowly getting alleviated. Backlog at record levels. Pricing environment is good.
Very limited competition, as pandemic wiped out most of their peers. Public funding is still strong. One of the only companies that complies with buy-American-zero-emissions policy. No dividend.
In the context of carbon tax announcements and the green push in US government Generally, yes, he'd buy this. There is a green push which will benefit NFI in the next couple of years. As for the Covid effect: People riding transit are extremely cautious and practice safety measures like distancing. Secondly, a company called Gatekeeper will take a passenger's body temperature as they board the bus, as applied to kids boarding school buses.