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TSE:NA

National Bank of Canada (NA.TO)

214.00
+2.93 (1.39%)
as of Jun 16, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
550 watching
0
Investor Insights
star iconJun 16, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 12 opinions in the last 12 months.

The National Bank of Canada (NA-T) has received positive feedback from various analysts, who note its strength in wealth management and recurring revenue generation through fees. Analysts highlight the bank's strategic acquisition of Canadian Western Bank, which enhances its national presence and cross-selling opportunities. Despite concerns about high valuations in the banking sector, many believe that National Bank is well-positioned for long-term growth, with expectations of double-digit earnings growth for years to come. The bank's focus on Alberta's services and the overall good performance in capital markets are also noted. However, there are cautious views regarding potential economic challenges, such as a recession or shifts in trade agreements, which may impact valuations.

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Consensus
Positive
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Valuation
Fair Value
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Similar
TD, TD
HOLD

A leader in the group, stick with it.

BUY
Sell TD to buy NA?

For the past 10-15 years, it's been one of the best banks, outperforming. Their purchase of Canadian Western Bank is transformative, but is a little skeptical about how synergistic the deal will be, but CWB is a good franchise and there will be some synergy. NA will do well overall.  For the next decade, NA has a smaller base to grow than TD, but their earning power will outstrip TD. That said, he would suggest only selling TD marginally to buy NA.

Unspecified

He has owned it for 20 years. It is the 6th largest bank in Canada but not trading at a discount to the big 5 now. In fact it is valued at second place behind Royal Bank so be wary. It hasn't been this expensive before. Banks tend to trade in a range. It bought Canadian Western Bank which is a good deal for both banks.

WAIT

Hesitant on Canadian banking space in general. Mortgage reset date of 2025 hasn't happened yet, with its impact on consumer. Bulk of the bad news hasn't been taken into consideration yet. Trades at a premium, stay away. 

Market bias toward domestic-centric banks right now, so they're doing well. If she had to pick a Canadian-centred bank, she'd pick CM.

WATCH

Owned for a long time, but shaken out with takeover of CWB. Premium for CWB very high. Great job with organic growth. He's a fan, and wouldn't be surprised if he bought it back at some point.

HOLD
Will they fix CWB after the acquisition?

100%. Are the paying a hefty multiple? Also yes. To build what CWB has would be extremely costly and risky. This way, they're getting a great asset at a reasonable price. Great operators.

BUY

If he was going to own national banks, he'd most likely own RY or NA. And if not, then the ZWB strategy is a good one; covered calls give you more upside; yield's around 7.5%; pretty good income stream.

Not a ton of growth in the Canadian market, and not a ton of growth in Canadian banks. Own them for the income more than upside growth.

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TOP PICK

June’s purchase of Canadian Western Bank instantly expanded NA’s presence from mostly Quebec into the western provinces. Overall, the deal will boost NA’s commercial banking portfolio by over 50%. Believe it or not, before the deal was announced National shares outperformed all the other big Canadian banks, even doubling gains made by Royal on a year-to-date basis. Even after the deal, NA remained tied with Royal at roughly 8% for the year.

BUY

Diversified. 40% of revenues come from traditional banking, 25% from wealth management, 25% from markets, 10% from specialty finance. Focused in Quebec. Well managed. Strong growth and profitability. Outperformed peers over last 5 years. 

CWB acquisition is a good fit -- increases size materially, diversifies geographically, adds commercial and wealth management exposure. Shares trading back offers a more attractive entry point.

BUY
Is purchase of CWB a good fit? Down 10% from deal being announced.

In terms of risk, we should be glad it bought in Canada instead of US. Banks that have gone to the US to do acquisitions have been hit and miss. CWB is a durable bank, mainly commercial which is riskier. Interest rates pivoting could certainly help commercial and real estate holdings of CWB.

Cost of capital of the small CWB always high, but now maybe growth can be unleashed as part of a larger bank.

WEAK BUY

Because of the CWB acquisition, NA has come way down, so might be a good time to buy.

HOLD

Has done very well. Benefited more than others from capital markets business, as opposed to traditional lending/deposit business. Capital markets results can be lumpy and tough to forecast. Hard to argue with its growth. International exposure in Cambodia, mostly in Quebec. He prefers a more national footprint.

As for a stock split, not something he focuses on. Whether your pizza is cut into 4 pieces or 8, it's still the same amount of pizza.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 19/23, Up 14%)

Very great stock with excellent technical analysis. Leader in the Canadian banking space. Would continue to recommend. Trend moving in excellent direction. Expecting market correction, but will be opportunity to buy more shares. 

HOLD
Dividend safe?

If a Schedule 1 Canadian bank's dividend isn't safe, we have a big problem. The only one to ever cut was NA, but it was decades ago. Not in jeopardy.

Big runup. Pretty well set up here. Quebec economy is pretty vibrant. Likes the company, but prefers TD and RY.

BUY

Best-performing Canadian bank over last 10 years, right up there with RY. Wants to keep payout ratio at 50% or less. Raised dividend because earnings kept growing. 2024 won't see such earnings growth, with prudent loan loss provisions. Market's sniffing out better earnings for 2025. 10x PE, and dividend will keep growing.

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