Stockchase Opinions

Javed Mirza National Bank of Canada NA-T PAST TOP PICK Oct 17, 2024

(A Top Pick Jul 19/23, Up 37.63%)

Don't fight the trend. Has been the leader, continues to work. The winners continue to win, so the valuation doesn't really bother him.

$131.550

Stock price when the opinion was issued

banks
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BUY

Handily outperformed most of the other Big 6 for more than a decade. Boost in trading multiple well deserved. No quarrels investing with a 2-year timeframe. Yield's between 3-4%. 

BUY

Can't go wrong buying this one. One of his favourites in the space, along with BMO.

HOLD

Doesn't own, but has no problems with this name in a portfolio.

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Curated by Allan Tong since 2019.
99+ opinions with 4.15 rating.

TOP PICK

Despite its expected growth, National remains cheap. It trades at 12.16x PE, compared to TD's 17.6x and Royal's 15.82x. True, NA's 3.13% dividend yield falls short of, say, BMO's 4.62%, but the projected growth makes up for this. Another plus is that National has no exposure to office real estate in the U.S., and only 8% exposure in commercial real estate there. Most of the bank's assets and operations lie in Canada. NA-T is a buy and hold.

HOLD

Leader in Canadian banking stocks. Good capital decision making. Strong balance sheet. Recent share price weakness could be a good time to buy. Domestic banks are more exposed to weakness in Canadian economy. Does not own shares right now. 

WAIT

Overall, banks should be correcting a little more than they are now. He sees some growth risks in Canada specifically. A bank like this, that's mostly exposed to the Canadian consumer and market, will have a bit of a correction if our economy is weaker.

Likes the name, but he'd wait for more of a drop before putting in new $$, perhaps another $10 lower.

BUY

If only he could roll back the time machine on his portfolio.... The bank that grew up and took a well-deserved seat at the big boys' table. Exceptional bank, packs a big punch in capital markets. Standout results. Purchase of CWB is a hand-in-glove fit, strategically sound, likely accretive. Lots of blue sky ahead, no qualms adding.

WEAK BUY

In his opinion, the only quality banks in Canada are RY and NA. Best run for decades. He's not a huge bull on the Canadian banks, but this is one of the two names he'd buy.

WAIT

Likes it in general. Great platform and franchise. If economy is heading for a contraction (for whatever reason), this name doesn't have the geographic exposure of the other 5 banks. Mainly in Quebec; very small US and international footprint. Extremely good job of growing, so he wouldn't bet against management. It's a macro call.

Disclosure: his dealer custody is with NA. 

HOLD

It had always traded at a discount to the big 5 banks but has started to trade in line. However he feels that it will go back to its historic range. He will continue to hold but not add.