Microsoft CorpMSFTTOP PICKJan 29, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Aug 14, 2026. Market Open.
Since reporting last week, they've rallied almost 130 points. MSFT is at the epicenter of the software (SAAS) socks and ultimately is where you'll make money as these models as these models commoditize. MSFT said, this capex spending is here to stay, but software isn't going away. She didn't sell it before earnings (it had been lagging all year), because she firmly believed in the CEO who did a great job of reading the room, of not doing what Google's doing. They said they will have free cash flow and won't go to the debt market (MSFT and JNJ are the only triple-A companies). Cloud revenue beat and guided upward. Still gotta see what they're spending on capex, but they're monetizing cloud. People are looking at this in a new light as it is re-rated.
Was the most impressive stock this quarter. He was pounding the table on it before the quarter. It's not a software stock, but a utility. Everyone uses their products every day. MSFT has Co-Pilot, LinkedIn, Word, Teams and more. Operating margins are huge, still robust. Balance sheet is solid. Their RPO is north of 650 billion. Great managers. But the stock has run up a lot so mind the gap with the valuation.
They reported a clean top and bottom line beat today and he thinks it can bounce, They reported a big earnings beat and Azure's growth accelerated to 43%, the fastest pace in 4 years. Free cash flow was positive. They're spending big on data centres, but not spending beyond their means. Their Co-Pilot reached 30 million paid users up from 20 million just three months ago.
Software and spending concerns are problems. What will OpenAI do for MSFT? But if quantum computing happens, MSFT is one of the three hyperscalers who will take advantage. Google and MSFT have produced chips for quantum computing; MSFT's chip is self-cooling, which extends their lifetime. MSFT is volatile, but he wants to add to his position.
Buy it, put it away for 10 years, do very well. Suffering from software outflows from large ETFs. Revenue still growing in teens, even better on EPS. Investing a lot in capacity (but they can afford it), which customers have signed onto for the next several years. Trades at 20x PE, yet nothing's really changed.
Microsoft Corp engages in the development and support of software, services, devices, and solutions. It operates through the following business segments: Productivity and Business Processes; Intelligent Cloud; and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment comprises products and services in the portfolio of productivity, communication, and information services of the company spanning a variety of devices and platform. The Intelligent Cloud segment refers to the public, private, and hybrid serve products and cloud services of the company which can power modern business. The More Personal Computing segment encompasses products and services geared towards the interests of end users, developers, and IT professionals across all devices. The firm also offers operating systems; cross-device productivity applications; server applications; business solution applications; desktop and server management tools; software development tools; video games; personal computers, tablets; gaming and entertainment consoles; other intelligent devices; and related accessories. The company was founded by Paul Gardner Allen and William Henry Gates III in 1975 and is headquartered in Redmond, WA. Social media mentions are up 514% in the past 24h.