Microsoft CorpMSFTBUYNov 21, 2025Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Nov 06, 2026. Market Open.
It's one of the five biggest spenders in capex on data centres. If was the only to say it would trim spending. It had the best report of the three megacaps that reported this week, beating revenues and earnings while Google and Amazon missed both. Azure grew 48% and cash flow was positive. Capex spending for the quarter was much lower than expectations. Their spending will accelerate in the second half of fiscal 2027.
He can't believe the market pushed this down to $400. The story then was that MSFT had too much tied to OpenAI, and that AI would disrupt their software business, Narratives change. MSFT is growing top and bottom line at a huge rate. He's own this since 2012. They will continue to see big earnings growth and deliver enormous free cash flow. Once the data centres are built, the hyperscalers will be the big winners.
He wouldn't but today, but neither would he sell. So much of investing is buying at the right price, and then letting things work. Valuation's a bit rich. Look to add on a pullback. Well positioned on AI. Well diversified. Great balance sheet, lots of cashflow. Important that some of these companies can do massive capex, but not be FCF-negative.
Quant investors are chasing news, so GOOG is going higher and other names are going lower. Mag 7's are only keeping pace with S&P performance, despite their dominating the index.
Azure has been doing very well, revenue growth is better than AWS from AMZN or GOOG. That shouldn't change anytime soon. You have to understand that the volatility of these stocks is almost double the market. Street was satisfied with earnings, but not satisfied on growth compared to expectations. So stock's fallen.
He continues to buy more. It will be involved with AI and with the potential for quantum computing going forward. You need to own at least one of the hyperscalers (MSFT, GOOG, and AMZN), and this is the one he owns.