Opinions
Michael Decter
Microsoft Corp
MSFT-Q
HOLD
Feb 18, 2025
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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People are taking profits in the Mag 7. Still a top pick. AI-cloud dominance and smart investments are driving their growth. Financial strength keeps them steady in uncertain markets. Her price target is $480, another 25% upside. You could add to your position now.
Shares are back to July 2024. Will this be closer to $300 or $500? The easy answer is $500. $300 would mean a lot of fundamental concerns on the macro side of the market. Look for guidance ahead. Are they still on schedule to spend $13 billion this year? And what will they get in return for that? Their last Q4 revealed that their AI business surprisingly surpassed their revenue run rate of $13 billion, which was a lot sooner. Companies like this are spending alot, but they are making money back in AI.
MSFT recently reported a 170% increase in its AI and cloud services segment. It is a key player in the space and a solid company to own. It has been prudently using some of its cash reserves to buy back shares and retire debt. It supports a ROE of 34%. We recommend setting a stop-loss at $340, looking to achieve $505 — upside potential of 29%. Yield 0.8%
(Analysts’ price target is $504.89)
He's long owned this, a major position, and will ride through its peaks and valleys long term. A solid company, trading at a much-lower PE than Nvidia. They will benefit as AI gains more usage. Likes it.