Microsoft CorpMSFTHOLDOct 01, 2024Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Nov 06, 2026. Market Open.
It's one of the five biggest spenders in capex on data centres. If was the only to say it would trim spending. It had the best report of the three megacaps that reported this week, beating revenues and earnings while Google and Amazon missed both. Azure grew 48% and cash flow was positive. Capex spending for the quarter was much lower than expectations. Their spending will accelerate in the second half of fiscal 2027.
He can't believe the market pushed this down to $400. The story then was that MSFT had too much tied to OpenAI, and that AI would disrupt their software business, Narratives change. MSFT is growing top and bottom line at a huge rate. He's own this since 2012. They will continue to see big earnings growth and deliver enormous free cash flow. Once the data centres are built, the hyperscalers will be the big winners.
He wouldn't but today, but neither would he sell. So much of investing is buying at the right price, and then letting things work. Valuation's a bit rich. Look to add on a pullback. Well positioned on AI. Well diversified. Great balance sheet, lots of cashflow. Important that some of these companies can do massive capex, but not be FCF-negative.
It's hard to argue against Microsoft. They've earned the higher valuation. He himself started using Microsoft Office 365 instead of spending a lot more to replace his company's server, and 365 has worked seamlessly. This is why MSFT is winning cloud business. Yes, MSFT is expensive. Hold if you own it. Apple is also a good business. Them and Androids run 80% of phone software globally; Apple continues to add features which will enhance growth. There's too much hype in AI rejuvenating iPhones. People will upgrades phones anyway. True, everyone has a phone, so that growth has slowed.