Morgan StanleyMSTOP PICKJan 12, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 23, 2026. Market Open.
After reporting, shares fell 1.8% and down 2.8% today. They just reported: revenues beat, investment and trading were up 18%, also beating, equities were strong, though fixed income missed. Wealth management grew 10% and beat, and investment beat though fell 12%. Problem is, investors are worried about inflation.
Mergers are increasing, and banks like MS makes advisory fees from them. Also, the banks have been rallying since oil slumped, and will benefit further from rising interest rates, which appears will happen later this year. Plus, hyperscalers may need to keep borrowing money to keep competing with each other.
Before the financial crisis, this was like a Goldman Sachs type firm. After the financial crisis, they were a wealth management firm that does some capital market business. Have de-levered the balance sheet from 30X leverage to 10 or 11 times. Earnings growth is really poised to move up sharply. He is looking for 20%-25% earnings growth in the next 2-3 years. Selling for less than tangible book value. A very stable earnings stream.