Morgan StanleyMSHOLDFeb 12, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Aug 14, 2026. Market Open.
Mergers are increasing, and banks like MS makes advisory fees from them. Also, the banks have been rallying since oil slumped, and will benefit further from rising interest rates, which appears will happen later this year. Plus, hyperscalers may need to keep borrowing money to keep competing with each other.
He's going to pull the lens back, as he likes to look at things from a macro perspective. In 2020, we went from falling interest rates for 40 years to what is likely rising long-term interest rates for the next 25-30 years. That benefits banks in particular.
If you look at the XLF in the US, after going nowhere from 2008-2021, it finally made a new high. Beginning of a new long-term bull market that probably goes on 10-12 years. During that time, earnings go up and so do dividends. The multiple expands.
US banks have had a wonderful year. He's used JPM as a Top Pick many times, and he also owns MS. 95% of global banks are trading above a rising 200-day MA. Don't be afraid of a bull market. These are dividend growth stocks, and when there's inflation a rising stream of income is pretty attractive to offset the rising cost of living.
Likes a lot of the large US banks. He owns JPM and GS.
This name is also a leader. Down ~13% from recent highs, but nothing to be overly concerned about. Stock's still making higher highs and higher lows. 200-day MA moving higher, with stock price well above, as is the 200-week MA. Healthy signs.