
TSE:MFC
This summary was created by AI, based on 27 opinions in the last 12 months.
Manulife Financial (MFC) has garnered mixed perspectives from various analysts, reflecting both its potential and current market position. While many experts acknowledge MFC's solid dividend yield and growth prospects, particularly in Asia, concerns about valuation and market conditions persist. The stock appears to be trading around 2x book value and has shown slow but steady growth, attracting attention from those looking for income rather than explosive growth. The consensus among experts is to proceed with caution and consider market pullbacks for optimal entry points, though some view the stock as a good long-term hold due to its stable dividend and cash flow. Overall, while there are positive signs, such as asset management improvements and capital growth, analysts advise careful monitoring given the mixed signals surrounding the broader financial sector's performance.
Long-term Hold? Thinks most financials in Canada are fine longer term. The question is, what is going to happen in the next 6-12 months. This is quite a bit from its highs. In the near term you are really going to have to look at where interest rates are going in Canada. He would choose Sun Life (SLF-T) over this.
In the doghouse having taken hits from the decline in energy prices, a lack of a rise in interest rates, as well as the volatility in equity markets. It would be nice for them if all 3 were improving, which he thinks they will. Wealth management and insurance are booming in both Canada and the far east. The US is more difficult, but they are working on that.
Safe dividends? In his opinion, financial dividends are all safe. Banks have never cut them ever, and he does not foresee this company cutting theirs. This is a stock that got pretty toppy at around $20. Had a great run to there, and now we are looking for levels of some sort that we could hold onto.
Whether looking at this, a US insurance company, US bank or Canadian bank, the financial sector has declined almost in lockstep with the decline of US 10 year bonds. That tells you that people are going to these things when they are more optimistic about rising rates. This company funds their liabilities through their assets, and their liabilities tend to go down when rates go up. Have hedged a lot of the interest rate exposure. The other concern is their Asian exposure. He would almost rather own a Canadian bank because their businesses are little more diverse insulating you from just one product line. Dividend yield of 3.9%.
Sun Life (SLF-T) or Manulife (MFC-T)? Both are great institutions. This one has a slightly bigger presence in Asia, which he likes, as it is a very immature market and will continue to grow. They each have good wealth management franchises. This one has had some redemptions on the institutional side, so there is a slight preference for this. Both are good companies and over time you will see dividend growth from both. Dividend yield of about 3.6%.
Good insurance operations in Canada and the US that throw off cash flow. They are fairly mature in the business, so it is what they do with that cash flow. It is going to expand their wealth management arm, a higher margin business, as well as investing in Asia. Asia is the biggest growth market for insurance companies. Insurance companies would benefit the most if interest rates went up.
A double from 2012. It came off about 20-25% recently. There is a concern on the asset side about investment of premiums and how much is invested in energy. The second biggest part of their growth was in Asia. Those are the headwinds. The stock eventually will price in the energy piece. He thinks this is starting to look a little more interesting.
Manulife (MFC-T) or Power Financial (PWF-T)? Power financial is more into Investors Group and Great West Life. Great West is basically health benefits and the demand is there, so it is inelastic. This company is in life insurance and other things that are little bit riskier. He prefers Chubb Ltd (CB-N).
He has watched it for a long time. Over the last three years the insurance businesses had one more point in multiple than banks. The multiple is now below the banks and below 0.8 times book value. Headwinds are priced into it now. They will benefit from the US economy.