
NASDAQ:META
Loves it. Disappointed up only 10%, had been up more. Part of the AI hysteria/panic going on. Makes no sense for one of the most dominant, profitable companies in the world run by one of the world's most innovative business people. Trading at less than 19x PE, less than market multiple but growing at 10x the market.
Spending a lot of $$, but can afford it. At risk if it doesn't make these investments.
Loves it. Big swings give her a chance to add. Beneficiary of AI on monetization (as opposed to infrastructure) through advertising. Last quarter, revenue grew ~24% YOY -- impressive. Tells her that AI investments already translating into real dollars. Revenue growth of 20% still expected this year.
Fundamental ranking of 9/10, analysts rate it Buy or Outperform and see 35% upside from here.
It reports this week. It fell 11% the last time it reported and is -16% since August's highs. Is selling under 23x PE, cheap, but to turn around it needs a new catalyst. He expects them to report great numbers, especially their core ad business. But last time they reported strong numbers and it didn't matter, because Wall Street only cared that they raised their capex to fund a massive data centre build-out--which crushed the stock. So, when they report, the big question is, How much are they spending? Meta needs to show how their AI spending is paying off?
A little concerned. Last May-October the stock soared because their ad business was taking off with stellar revenue growth. Problem is Meta is adding a lot of debt, and it lacks a cloud business unlike peers like Google and Amazon. Meta is in the penalty box because their core AI model hasn't shown improvement, but they have hired an all-star development team.
Drawdown due to spending on AI. Tons of cash, and the winners will be those who can afford to spend across all 9 innings. Core holding in his global growth fund.