
NYSE:MCD
This summary was created by AI, based on 13 opinions in the last 12 months.
McDonald's (MCD) is facing several challenges, with inflation impacting profit margins and consumer spending under pressure, especially among its primary customer base. Despite these headwinds, experts recognize McDonald's strong brand and global presence, with stable operations indicated by steady cash flow and dividends. Valuation metrics such as a PE ratio around 20-21 times are considered reasonable, especially with potential EPS growth of 7-8%. However, the future performance may hinge on external factors like beef prices and the company's adoption of technology advancements. Analysts express a cautious view with some considering the stock a staple for long-term investment while others advocate for caution amid current market dynamics.
You can expect a little bit of capital appreciation to the $102-$103 mark plus your dividend. Valuation is expensive but the company gets beat around quite a bit based on what it reports on same-store sales every month which he feels is a little bit unfair. Has a big EM business and a big European business. European business is getting better but the US business is a little bit mixed so they have to do some reinventing in their menu. They have the cash to do this.
Stock splits have become unpopular over the last few years. Companies’ decisions on splitting the stock to get more retail investors interested started to get diminished gains over the last couple of years. MCD drove a lot of growth through 2010-12. Now same store sale growth is disappointing. Ultimately he believes they will return to being the leader.
Longer term it is known to be the company that raises its dividend. He is concerned about it adapting to the generation that prefers healthier foods. They are making renovations but can they meet that new generation in terms of demand. Price promotions are very aggressive in their space. He owns YUM brands and likes SBUX
Even though it is a discretionary type stock, it has gotten thrown in with consumers’ staple type stocks and the stock has come down a bit. Right at the 200 day moving average so he would see where it goes from here because that is an important inflection point as to whether it is going to go up or down. A great dividend grower over time. Their challenge today is catering to today’s generation which is slightly more health-conscious.
Great brand. Struggled a little bit on their same-store sales but their track record of investing capital is impressive. Have lots of things working for them. What doesn’t inspire her is the valuation on the shares. Because it is a sort of “steady Eddie” business, there has been a shift in investor confidence with people getting more comfortable with the market so they are being put into stocks that are considered safe, such as this one. She doesn’t see a lot of compelling upside.
Just had an earnings miss. From a practical point of view, this has been a wonderful franchise, especially in the English section part of the world. Thinks they struggle to get the growth internationally. Longer-term, he feels this is a challenged franchise but it will continue to grow and continue to do well. Not in the right sweet spot to be a big grower and is challenged to grow in Asia. Yum Brands (YUM-N) would be a better alternative.
Looking at the chart, something concerns him. Since about April it has been forming a technical formation of lower highs and lower lows. They have done very well obviously going through a transformation in terms of restaurants, etc. You are paying up a little bit at 18X earnings. However, it gives you a lower beta with a higher dividend.
His preference is Tim Hortons (THI-T) where he thinks there is better growth. If you own, don’t Sell. Huge ROE. Great return on capital. Dividend growth and share buyback until the end of time with this stock. Valuation is reasonable.