
NYSE:MCD
Gives a huge dividend of about 3.6%. Have grown their dividend at about 10% a year for the last 10 years. Going through some struggles right now. He has seen this happen before. A very powerful franchise and is struggling with competitive pressure, currency pressures and menu pressures. Very, very strong balance sheet.
Long on McDonald’s (MCD-N) and Short on Restaurant Brands (QSR-T). Good strategy? He could see intuitively how it could do well, but he would advise against it. This company has a lot of headwinds. It is not seen as a health conscious menu and a place where people go to eat healthy. Restaurant Brands have Tim Hortons which has a lot of growth potential and a lot of potential for cost-cutting.
Just removed the CEO. Company had been struggling, partially because their menus got too complicated. They are trying to rebrand their menus and make them simpler. Rock solid balance sheet. He thinks they are going to solve their problems. Has a 30 year track record of increasing dividends. Yield of 3.8%.
An amazing business and the Return on Capital and Return on Equity is terrific. Trading at a 15-16 times multiple. The negative is that there is no sense of urgency with management to change. Competition has increased immensely. Until he gets an indication that the earnings are going to grow, it is hard for him to buy the stock.
Raised its dividend 25 years straight. Have always been about to reinvent themselves. The idea of a better, healthier, nutritional, organic locally sourced type of environment is really challenging right now. The dividend yield is the parachute that keeps him in this stock. He just heard that there might be an activist investor coming along to get this moving. Don’t give up on it.
He thinks there is something structural going on in this business. All of us are looking more at just what we eat and are more dietary conscious. This company was a great innovator with new menu items, and this is what will drive same store sales. They have been struggling. You’ll see 5%-8% growth, but he just doesn't see much in the way of upside.
This is really about the valuation story, and he is willing to be there for the recovery. There is lots of pessimism priced in. Their sales across the board have come down because they haven’t adapted to consumer preferences. So when you buy this, you are making the bet on are they going to make the changes necessary to adapt to what consumers/restaurant goers want today. He feels the answer is yes. They have done it before. Low volatility and a dividend yield of 3.55%.