McDonaldsMCDHOLDFeb 18, 2014Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Aug 03, 2026. Market Open.
Half its business is NA, half international. Not a huge amount of growth, perhaps 5-6%. EPS growth of 7-8%. Opens a few new stores a year. More of a landlord, with over 90% franchised. Very high ROIC.
Only 20x PE today, down from historically high 20s. In his world, it's a staple not discretionary :) Yield is 2.65%.
You can expect a little bit of capital appreciation to the $102-$103 mark plus your dividend. Valuation is expensive but the company gets beat around quite a bit based on what it reports on same-store sales every month which he feels is a little bit unfair. Has a big EM business and a big European business. European business is getting better but the US business is a little bit mixed so they have to do some reinventing in their menu. They have the cash to do this.