McDonaldsMCDTOP PICKOct 06, 2014Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 05, 2026. Market Open.
Half its business is NA, half international. Not a huge amount of growth, perhaps 5-6%. EPS growth of 7-8%. Opens a few new stores a year. More of a landlord, with over 90% franchised. Very high ROIC.
Only 20x PE today, down from historically high 20s. In his world, it's a staple not discretionary :) Yield is 2.65%.
Was downgraded last Friday and today over fears they won't meet expectations this quarter, including disappointment over MCD's new chicken strips dish, that it won't turn things around. Rather, customer prefer heavily breaded chicken and the find these strips ugly. However, history says it has never paid to downgrade MCD. It's the king, offering good value and is highly well-run. The CEO will figure it out.
This kind of reflects his view of where the markets are. The volatility is there. People will continue to eat here, through thick and thin. A couple of things that have put short-term pressure on them are the tainted meat scare in China and the Russian geopolitical issues. Over the long-term, those have not proven to be factors in the share price. The lower current price is a positive. This is really a defensive name. Have been in a huge rebranding kick.