TSE:KEY

Keyera Corp (KEY.TO)

57.53
+0.25 (0.44%)
as of Jun 5, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
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Investor Insights
star iconJun 5, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 12 opinions in the last 12 months.

Keyera Corp (KEY-T) has garnered a mixed yet largely positive outlook from various analysts. Many experts appreciate the company's stable cash flows and growth potential, particularly in light of its recent performance and the Plains acquisition, which is seen as a strong catalyst. However, there are concerns about a government probe related to the acquisition and the company's exposure to fluctuations in oil prices, which could impact its market value. While some view Keyera as an appealing investment opportunity in the energy infrastructure sector, particularly with its dividend yield over 5%, questions about its long-term viability and competition from peers like Enbridge and Pembina have been raised. Overall, experts recognize the company's growth trajectory but urge caution given the current market landscape.

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Consensus
Positive
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Valuation
Fair Value
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Similar
ENB,ENB
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 14/19, Down 17%) Still a core holding for them. The nervousness is in their natural gas business. Gas supply is now on a better footing. A high quality infrastructure business.
BUY
Got hit in the general selloff. It's in the cyclical/infrastructure bucket. Challenge is it's just coming off the bottom on price momentum. Scores well on valuation, yield, and ROE. Payout ratio is a bit high at 89%. Would like to see more cash flow. Lots of debt. Should start to see some pickup as the oil patch improves. Yield is 8%.
DON'T BUY
He thinks the company is paying out too much cash flow to dividends. Cash flow is $1.29 yet they are paying out $1.92. With the collapse of oil the stock price has collapsed as well. So much depends on if you are bullish on oil. Commodity forecasting is something he does not do. The balance sheet is not very strong for this one.
BUY
Allan Tong’s Discover Picks This midstream player extracts liquids from natural gas, a commodity which is safer than oil. Keyera currently pays a whopping 9.5% dividend yield, so the obvious question is, Is it safe? Bay Street thinks so. Read Best Dividend Stocks Canada for our full analysis.
TOP PICK
Offers stable earnings and pays over a 9% dividend. Volumes in natural gas remain steady, though Keyera had to switch some processing facilities. Good balance sheet compared to peers; lower valuation and good cash flow. They're growing and pay a good dividend. (Analysts’ price target is $25.79)
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Payout ratio sustainable? A name he has owned for many years. Very talented management team. They have diverted capex, improved liquidity and refinanced debt, so he does not think the dividend is at risk. He also does not think it will grow much over the next couple of years. A long term investor would see this as an excellent investment. Short term, there will likely be more uncertainty regarding economic recovery. The payout ratio is estimated at 80%. Yield 9.33%
COMMENT

Historically these have been great assets to own. They will follow energy stocks in general too. He prefers to own KEY over PPL. There have been concerns about insolvencies with producers in the energy space with low oil prices. He has added more to their KEY holdings, thinking the natural gas space is safer than oil right now. He would own a couple of holdings in a diversified way.

HOLD

This is a midstream company that takes natural gas and extracts liquids for octane enhancers and other valuable liquids, while taking a toll from the energy producers. He thinks 30% of their total decline is their association to the energy sector. The other portion of the share decline is related to perceived counter-party credit risk -- will their customers be able to pay them. They have strategic assets in Alberta and we know it is harder to do business in energy in Canada. He is still holding this for now, just be careful of how much exposure you have with the mid-stream companies these days. They do not have a debt problem, so the dividend looks safe for this year he thinks. Yield 9.6%

DON'T BUY

It's about balance sheet and fear of loss of clients. It's more at risk in an environment like this. This one will struggle. The ones that are safe would be ENB, TRP, PPL, GEI.

BUY
Sell Hudbay to buy Keyera? As for Keyera, it's an apples and oranges talk--very different companies. But Keyera is a stronger company financially, so it'd be an uptrade.
BUY
When you look at the midstream space today, they are positioned very well in terms of growth opportunities out to 2022. He thinks you are getting a cheaper valuation and above average growth.
BUY

He likes it--slower growth, higher yield, something to hold onto for the long term. Its valuation is lower than its peers. Its debt is lower than ENB-T's. The dividend pays over 6%. Not flashy and it's boring, but you want something safe like this. Oil itself swings to extremes though millennials and ESG will stay away from energy long-term.

WEAK BUY
Long owned this, though it's been frustrating in recent years. But at least he's getting paid to wait. This should be trading close to $40. If now, collect the dividend and wait.
PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Jun 14/19, Up 7%) The stock was beaten up and it was very difficult. Infrastructure space was well valued. The stock has stalled in a 3 years basis. Consistent growth and good dividend. A core holding.

WEAK BUY

ENB vs. Keyera for dividend safety They pay the same yield. FMV of Keyera is 14% higher and Enbridge is 13.4% than current stock prices. Keyera has resistance at $36 (sell at this point). The big difference is, the balance sheet of Enbridge is slipping away, while Keyera's is rising, so he mildly prefers Keyera. Both have limited upside.

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