NYSE:K

Kellanova (K)

83.44
-0.00 (0.00%)
as of Dec 10, 2025, 9:00:10 pm Market Open.
0 watching
0
PARTIAL SELL

If you are holding a capital gain, he would consider taking some profit. There is commodity pricing pressure with distribution issues. He would move on to greener pastures.

COMMENT

The only things working this year is everything that is defensive. On the back of that, this company has seen some nice price movement. 50% of their revenue comes from cereals, so the whole trend of people trying to get away from carbs isn’t really helpful to them. A good quality company. She doesn’t see a ton of upside.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

His model price is $59.28, a negative 8%. These are wonderful names in a portfolio and he thinks they go sideways. If it got a nice downdraft year, he would be a buyer of the stock. 3% dividend yield.

COMMENT

General Mills (GIS-N) or Kellogg’s (K-N)? Primarily focused on what he considers junk food. The consumer has become more educated. His concern with this company is that they have not adapted to the healthy consumer preference. Put up almost $2 billion in debt a few years ago to buy Pringle. If you look at the cash flow that goes to servicing that debt and their dividend, there isn’t a lot of cash for new growth catalysts. General Mills would be his preferred play.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick April 22/14. Down 7.3%.) Broke below a head and shoulders pattern yesterday. The period of seasonal strength generally is from April through until November. It is definitely time to step aside and get out if you own.

DON'T BUY

Would be careful of this because people are eating less cereal. The next generation are carbohydrate conscious so cereal demand is not going in their favour. Trading at a high valuation.

STRONG BUY

Best seasonal stock around right now. Upward trend, above 20 day moving average and outperforming the average, so it is a buy.

TOP PICK

This is your classic defensive play. A consumer staples company that has a low PE of about 13 as opposed to the market which is about 17. The period of seasonal strength for this can run between now, April through to July. Consumer Staples in general can do well all the way through to October. The average gain from April 27 to October 7 is 9.18%. On the technicals, the chart shows what he would call a bit of a Bull flag. This sharpness has come on during takeover talks, but he is not playing it on this basis, but on a seasonal basis.

DON'T BUY

Cereal business is a fairly slow grower and not that robust right now. He would be a little bit concerned as it is trading at about 16 or 17 times earnings but growing at well less than half that.

COMMENT

(Market Call Minute.) Made a nice acquisition with Pringles and we'll see if that does anything with their earnings, which haven't gone anywhere in the past couple of years.

BUY
Bought Pringles from P & G. They are trying to gain space in the grocery isle. Slightly dilutive next year and then accretive after that. P & G sold it because it was non-core.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 9/08. Down 4%.) Picked this as a conservative stock. Turned out there was no safe place in October.
TOP PICK
A safer way to play the market right now. Good consumer products and good brand recognition. Managing their input costs quite well. Very little downside. Decent dividend. Get out of this on October 28.
DON'T BUY
His model price is $39.73, a negative 25% differential. Cereal companies always trade above his model price.
BUY
Input costs of grains have been coming down. Buy at around $44 and then sell at around $50 in the spring.
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