
NYSE:K
The only things working this year is everything that is defensive. On the back of that, this company has seen some nice price movement. 50% of their revenue comes from cereals, so the whole trend of people trying to get away from carbs isn’t really helpful to them. A good quality company. She doesn’t see a ton of upside.
General Mills (GIS-N) or Kellogg’s (K-N)? Primarily focused on what he considers junk food. The consumer has become more educated. His concern with this company is that they have not adapted to the healthy consumer preference. Put up almost $2 billion in debt a few years ago to buy Pringle. If you look at the cash flow that goes to servicing that debt and their dividend, there isn’t a lot of cash for new growth catalysts. General Mills would be his preferred play.
This is your classic defensive play. A consumer staples company that has a low PE of about 13 as opposed to the market which is about 17. The period of seasonal strength for this can run between now, April through to July. Consumer Staples in general can do well all the way through to October. The average gain from April 27 to October 7 is 9.18%. On the technicals, the chart shows what he would call a bit of a Bull flag. This sharpness has come on during takeover talks, but he is not playing it on this basis, but on a seasonal basis.
If you are holding a capital gain, he would consider taking some profit. There is commodity pricing pressure with distribution issues. He would move on to greener pastures.