KellogKCOMMENTFeb 19, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Dec 10, 2025. Market Open.
Last summer, they announced spinning off their cereal business from it snacking business. However, packaged foods stocks have fallen out of fashion. Investors don't want recession stocks like this. So, K has hit 52-week lows despite delivering a strong quarter and raised their full-year forecast last week. Strong brands have withstood higher product prices.
Don't buy. It had a nice, not big, little run, so take profits. Mondelez is better.
They took over Pringles last year. This whole space has been extremely challenged. They struggle to grow and particularly in the cereal space. They are having trouble because people's' preferences have changed. There are higher raw materials costs. We are moving away from snacks as well as cereals. Some of these tried to attract investors with high returns of capital. In fact they are just giving back your own capital and not producing enough to cover these big dividends. We should see it 12% lower next year.
The only things working this year is everything that is defensive. On the back of that, this company has seen some nice price movement. 50% of their revenue comes from cereals, so the whole trend of people trying to get away from carbs isn’t really helpful to them. A good quality company. She doesn’t see a ton of upside.