
NYSE:JPM
Can't predict their earnings, but a lot of good news is already baked into the stocks. No earnings growth is expected this and next year. Nervousness in the US banking system has attracted assets to JPM, though. For the first time in a long time, he's more attracted to Canadian than US banks, because the bad news has been baked into the former and their valuations are better with better earnings growth. That said, if JPM pulled back, he's consider this.
#1 rule for him is to own the leader in a sector. By far, the best balance sheet. Spent the most on technology. Best leadership. Regional banks fell profitably into its hands. Raised dividend twice this year, amounting to 15%. Cost of capital has become more dear, so pricing power will improve, leading to outperformance. A centrepiece for any portfolio. Yield is 2.3%.
(Analysts’ price target is $203.53)It is a leader in the sector - best managed, best balance sheet and is outspending their competitors in technology by a wide margin. It made some good acquisitions with regional banks being in difficulty. The U.S. financial ETF - XLF made new highs in the bear market 1 1/2 years ago.
US banking has done better than Canada, but there are better places to put money. This one has done quite well. First place to look is around $194. Once it goes past that, the next level would be $186. Final on-sale price would be $170.
If you have a long horizon, don't get too cute with the buy price, as the price targets are never that precise. Pick up a partial position at a reasonable price. If it starts to move higher, perhaps add your remaining position. Sometimes you have to use good portfolio management, rather than technical analysis.