JP Morgan Chase & CoJPMCOMMENTNov 25, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 21, 2026. Market Open.
They just reported a clear top and bottom line miss, though net interest income beat. The non-interest income and asset management missed. Expenses rose faster than revenue. Shares fell at first, but recovered when management offered a a positive forecast. Overall, results were mixed but the outlook makes this a winner.
It's all about the scale, and JPM's scale is tremendous. Largest US bank, and in over 100 countries. Built for almost any type of economic environment. Multiple revenue engines. Announced $50B share buyback. Strong performance due to increasing confidence about the economy.
Chart shows 200-day MA trending higher, and series of higher highs and higher lows. Yield is 1.71%.
There is also a Canadian CDR (hedged) version but he prefers the actual stock in US dollars. He doesn't like the hedged versions of stocks which neutralize the foreign exchange component and prefers the benefit of owning companies in US dollars. He owns this and other US financials. Canadian banks have done very well.
Theoretically, this is just getting started, but you have to watch out for the mean reversion. It has had a phenomenal run to the upside since the Trump Bump, and has been stretched significantly by the 20 and 50 day moving averages. The 20 day is at about $74 and the 50 day is at about $70. If you get a retracement back to those levels, those have the more positive risk/rewards. Seasonally, financials such as this, tend to do well from about November all the way through to April. Technically this bounced higher from its 50-day moving average. There is support between about $70 and $71.