JP Morgan Chase & CoJPMTOP PICKOct 17, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 21, 2026. Market Open.
They just reported a clear top and bottom line miss, though net interest income beat. The non-interest income and asset management missed. Expenses rose faster than revenue. Shares fell at first, but recovered when management offered a a positive forecast. Overall, results were mixed but the outlook makes this a winner.
It's all about the scale, and JPM's scale is tremendous. Largest US bank, and in over 100 countries. Built for almost any type of economic environment. Multiple revenue engines. Announced $50B share buyback. Strong performance due to increasing confidence about the economy.
Chart shows 200-day MA trending higher, and series of higher highs and higher lows. Yield is 1.71%.
There is also a Canadian CDR (hedged) version but he prefers the actual stock in US dollars. He doesn't like the hedged versions of stocks which neutralize the foreign exchange component and prefers the benefit of owning companies in US dollars. He owns this and other US financials. Canadian banks have done very well.
This group benefits from rising interest rates, and this is the strong man in the group. 75% of their revenues comes out of the US, so it is really focused on the domestic economy. They have a good commercial banking business, a good private banking business, and a great capital markets business. Have grown their dividend 18% a year over the last 5 years. They are taking market share from their competitors. Exceedingly well run by Jamie Diamond and his group. They don’t pay a high percentage of their earnings out. ROE is north of 10%. Price, relative to the group, has been steadily improving. Dividend yield of 2.86%.