JP Morgan Chase & CoJPMDON'T BUYAug 01, 2012Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 20, 2026. Market Open.
They just reported a clear top and bottom line miss, though net interest income beat. The non-interest income and asset management missed. Expenses rose faster than revenue. Shares fell at first, but recovered when management offered a a positive forecast. Overall, results were mixed but the outlook makes this a winner.
It's all about the scale, and JPM's scale is tremendous. Largest US bank, and in over 100 countries. Built for almost any type of economic environment. Multiple revenue engines. Announced $50B share buyback. Strong performance due to increasing confidence about the economy.
Chart shows 200-day MA trending higher, and series of higher highs and higher lows. Yield is 1.71%.
There is also a Canadian CDR (hedged) version but he prefers the actual stock in US dollars. He doesn't like the hedged versions of stocks which neutralize the foreign exchange component and prefers the benefit of owning companies in US dollars. He owns this and other US financials. Canadian banks have done very well.
With banks, he looks at the total size of the balance sheet. History shows when banks get over $1 trillion US in assets, they have pretty much cross sold every product in every market where they could possibly hope to have a competitive advantage. To grow beyond that they start to get into more and more exotic business lines and get away from the risk culture that got them to that size in the 1st place.