
TSE:IPL
Gives a better yield than Pembina (PPL-T), and its multiple is lower. They are still plugged into the oil sands. Each year is going to bring on 200,000 additional barrels that has to be moved. They are going to do just fine. Good management. They have been accretive in their acquisitions. Dividend yield of 5.6%. (Analysts’ price target is $54.82.)
Do pipelines get hit if interest rates go up? We now have a scenario where oil prices are rising and there is an issue with infrastructure in Canada and the US. Thinks pipelines are a good investment for a dividend portfolio. Prefers Enbridge (ENB-T), and has recently done a lot of work on Veresen (VSN-T) which offers a much higher dividend yield and are involved in some great projects which will come on stream in the next few quarters. IPL might do fine. You might lose some flows from interest rates. Also if oil does start to rally towards $60 flows might come out of the pipelines and into the ENPs. If looking for a nice dividend in something steady, this would fit that portfolio.
(A Top Pick April 27/15. Up .02%.) He still likes this, but would like to see it pull back a bit before buying any more. They have done some interesting stuff. Bought the Williams Canadian business, which gives them access to some off-gas from both Suncor and CNQ. They strip out liquids and resell them. They also have a propane dehydrogenation facility, which breaks down the off-gas.
They did a secondary offering a month ago. That is usually a headwind for a stock until the market digests it. About $1.1 Billion of $1.7 Billion in revenues comes from transporting crude in Canada. There is not a lot of growth there. It has a great dividend yield and that is why it trades so expensively. If interest rates tick up, this stock will be obliterated.
This follows what happens in the movement of oil and gas. If oil does well, it takes off. He thinks it could go down to the low $20s. Usually tax loss selling kicks in the 2nd and 3rd week of December. Sometime in that window, he would be looking to see where the bargains are, and where you should be taking out your Buy tickets again. Dividend yield of 5.5%.
$33.65 is his model price, a 17% upside, but there is a ceiling at $33 on this one. They are paying out too much, more than they earn. He does not like those situations. There are cheaper opportunities out there.