NYSE:HD

Home Depot (HD)

282.85
+0.39 (0.14%)
as of Oct 2, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
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It's a Monthly Gems opinion which is available only for Stockchase Premium

Curated by Allan Tong since 2019.
99+ opinions with 4.15 rating.

TOP PICK

HD reported a fine quarter in mid-May, but the market dumped out of macro fears over the economy: hot inflation, recession, spiking interest rates. May was a time when good companies got punished. However, that spelled a buying opportunity for a company that thrived during Covid as people renovated their homes, lifting shares to $415 by the end of last year, but now trade under $300 at a low 19x valuation. Covid is fading, but there remains a housing shortage impacted by supply shortages (no surprise) as rising rates dampen house-selling.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Following an earnings release that beat analyst estimates by 11%, we select HD as a TOP PICK. Revenues and profits were up on the year, impressive given revenue was up 33% a year ago as pandemic lockdowns had DYI busy on projects. We are not thrilled that they have used some cash reserves to buy back shares aggressively, while adding to debt, but trust in management's strategy. It pays a good dividend, backed by a payout ratio under 50% of cash flow. We recommend a stop loss at $264, looking to achieve $385 -- upside potential over 30%. Yield 2.57% (Analysts’ price target is $385.68)
HOLD
Reported a great quarter today, but shares fell She likes their different avenues of growth. HD's quarterly call was optimistic, such as a strong backlog. Share fell today because investors are worried what will happen 6 months from now, worries of a slowdown or recession and rising rates. But HD's PE has shrunk to 18x forward. Start nibbling below $300. She took some profits last fall around $370. HD benefited a lot from the pandemic, but she believes HD can still grow post-Covid. With interest rates rising, some homeowners are staying in their homes, not selling, and renovating instead which is a tailwind. Be patient.
TOP PICK
A very innovative company still investing in technology to make stores more efficient, so a long runway to grow. Exceptional management. Down 30% from high and trading at 19X earnings, the low end of the range.
BUY
There is a severe housing shortage. A nice way to play housing this is in the repair side. Rising rates will prevent homeowners from moving into new homes and they will stay in place. So, this will drive home renovations. We need to add more supply to homes in the next 12-18 months, but until then there will be pressure on this space.
BUY
Now less home renovation and more toward the industrial building side. There's a bit of a supply crunch in the US. More people will need places to live, especially with immigration from areas of the world in such turmoil.
WAIT
Poster child of what was wrong with the US stock market. Great company, firing on all cylinders. Really expensive, even with the pullback, trading at 19x with only 6% growth. People will still buy and renovate homes, as long as rates don't go too high. Better value elsewhere.
BUY
A great big box retailer. She expects home repairs to continue. She loves the housing-adjacent trade.
BUY
Now is a great entry point for a multi-year winner.
TRADE
It is a good company but he is not ready to buy yet. Stocks related to housing did well until December but rates going up will affect housing. It is a secular growth stock and is good for the dividend.
HOLD
Rough earnings. Below 200-day MA, but still moving up. Trendlines are flattening. Early pandemic winners are giving way to early pandemic losers. Great franchise. 19x forward earnings for 10% growth, so not terrible. Shift in sentiment away from home improvement. Don't add.
COMMENT
Shares got slammed yesterday. It reported a good quarter, but warned that future margins will be thinner because of supply chain woes.
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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Dec 08/20, Up 20.6%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with HD has triggered its stop at $315. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. We will monitor for another potential re-entry level.
BUY
Loves its closeness to the housing market and their e-commerce platform is great. It reports next week.
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