The US homebuilding sector Housebuilding stocks are cyclical, driven by momentum. Interest rates are rising and there's a housing shortage in the US, and yet houses remain affordable due to low rates. But rising rates may be a headwind. She prefers playing this space through Home Depot, because people will buy homes and do renos, while older homes also need renos. Millennials will move out, post-Covid, and may need home renos, too.
Probably won't get hurt buying it. Sensitive to home sales. When that market slows down, people spend less at HD. Not cheap, but best in class. As a long-term shareholder, you could do worse. He'd be interested if a slowdown made the stock fall significantly.
It's down 10% in the past month. A great company. Problem is, there are no buyers in the final minutes of each trading day. No liquidity. The market is too uncertain, so don't buy all at once. Rather, buy in tranches of 20 shares.
(A Top Pick Jan 18/21, Up 34%) It has pulled back low enough that you can enter it. She likes home improvement long term; it's Amazon-proof. Higher rates are scaring the US housing market, but supply remains tight, so it's attractive, supported by household income. US homes are aging, many past 50 years old, some demand for renovations will be strong. Housing turnover remains high. All tailwinds.
Remains a core holding. Reported this morning, very strong sales, stock bumped up. Strong demand from the pro customer has rebounded. People are renovating rather than moving. Don't buy it here. She took some profits a couple of weeks ago.
It reports Tuesday. It tends to open up on the day of earnings news, then plunge later in the day during the conference call. If you don't own, then wait till the sell-off.
Last quarter, they had a slight beat. Beat on top and bottom lines but they cut their guidance on 2021 due to covid. This is a name that you don't need to buy at these levels. They are expensive for what you get. Has had a huge run.
He owned this from the late-1990s till 2020 and did a 10-bagger. He sold it not because of the dividend, but a comparison against Lowe's. HD's success largely was a result of organic growth and operating efficiencies. In the past decade, their operating margins moved from 11% to 16.5% vs. Lowe's in a similar, but slower rate. So, he'd rather capture what will come, so he switched to Lowe's
(A Top Pick Dec 08/20, Up 30.2%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with HD is progressing well. We now recommend trailing the stop (from $230) to $315. If triggered, this would all but guarantee a net investment return of 20%.
(A Top Pick Jul 27/20, Up 29%) He'd buy it today. Grows dividend quickly, over 20% a year over the last 5 years. Likes the housing sector and home improvement.
Allan Tong’s Discover Picks Despite sector uncertainty, HD has been beating its quarters, the last four to be precise. In mid-August Home Depot reported YOY revenue popping 8.1%, earnings and revenu beats, and an 4.5% increase in same-store sales over the year. However, this last number wasn’t strong enough for Wall Street which expected 5%, so shares fell 4% on the news. There remains value in the name. Head to head with Lowe’s, HD wins in several metrics: profit margin of 10.55% vs. Lowe’s 7.41%, ROI of 36.61% vs. 24.11% and dividend yield of 2% vs. 1.55%. Read 3 Recovering Stocks to Consider for our full analysis.
HD vs. LOW He had owned HD for close to 20 years, and had done well. You don't stop doing research after buying a company. His research showed that Lowe's was catching up. Lowe's trades 5x cheaper than HD, margins are lower but expanding. See his Top Picks today.
Earlier this week, Home Depot's report signaled to Wall Street that DIY consumers are spending on things outside home renovations once the great reopening got rolling. That made Wall Street suspicious of all retailers and sold them off, even good ones like Walmart. Today, Lowe's (and TJX) reported strong numbers and their shares bounced.
She's been adding on this pullback. Sector benefited with Covid. Growth of their PRO division is actually greater than DIY for the first time in the last few quarters. Not housing starts that drives them, but housing turnover. Housing shortage encourags renovations. Building out e-commerce, and so operating margins will improve. Yield is 2.16%. (Analysts’ price target is $343.90)
It is at a good entry point for a long term hold. Repair and renovation has been very strong. New household formations are still in the initial innings as millennials start to move out of the home.
Home Depot is a American stock, trading under the symbol HD (previously HD-N on Stockchase) on the New York Stock Exchange (HD). It is usually referred to as NYSE:HD or HD