Alphabet IncGOOGCOMMENTMay 20, 2014Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 10, 2026. Market Open.
Fears that AI would eat its lunch. Harder for Anthropic to monetize a new tool than for GOOG to take AI and apply it to a business model that it already monetizes. Muscle memory of the populace gravitates to GOOG to find information. Probably thrives in the new AI world, until something more disruptive comes along.
AI monetization is happening, and AI Mode has been a game changer. Stronger cloud growth (revenue grew 63% YOY last quarter, tremendous), broader monetization across platforms. Search and advertising remain strong, lots of cashflow. Also a great ecosystem.
Good growth, but relatively decent valuation. Yield is 0.25%.
A year ago, consensus was that Search was going to die. Seems ridiculous now. Gemini is overtaking ChatGPT. Data centre business is growing faster than before. Still not that expensive. He hasn't sold any shares yet, but may take some off the table from the long-term holding and put toward one of the Mag 7 laggards.
GOOG-Q or GOOGL-Q? Which stock would you hold, voting or nonvoting? You always want to have a vote, because nonvoting shareholders tend to get brushed aside. In non-voting situations, individuals tend to want to get their hands on the shareholders’ cash and do unreasonable things. Of the tech companies that do not pay a dividend, this is the crème de la crème because the growth is still there. Even though the stock is trading in the $500 range, you are looking at 16X next years earnings so it is still relatively attractive.