Alphabet IncGOOGPAST TOP PICKMar 14, 2013Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 10, 2026. Market Open.
Fears that AI would eat its lunch. Harder for Anthropic to monetize a new tool than for GOOG to take AI and apply it to a business model that it already monetizes. Muscle memory of the populace gravitates to GOOG to find information. Probably thrives in the new AI world, until something more disruptive comes along.
AI monetization is happening, and AI Mode has been a game changer. Stronger cloud growth (revenue grew 63% YOY last quarter, tremendous), broader monetization across platforms. Search and advertising remain strong, lots of cashflow. Also a great ecosystem.
Good growth, but relatively decent valuation. Yield is 0.25%.
A year ago, consensus was that Search was going to die. Seems ridiculous now. Gemini is overtaking ChatGPT. Data centre business is growing faster than before. Still not that expensive. He hasn't sold any shares yet, but may take some off the table from the long-term holding and put toward one of the Mag 7 laggards.
(A Top Pick April 19/12. Up 36.78%.) A tech name that hasn’t really gotten credit until now. Most of its core revenues are from search engine advertising but he feels the market is probably realizing they are diversifying to things like emailing, mapping, instant messaging and Google+ (social media). Trades at 18X forward earnings. 15% long-term growth rate. Still pretty cheap. (Buy on weakness.)