Opinions
Shane Obata
General Motors Corporation
GM-N
WATCH
Mar 15, 2023
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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General Motors Co. engages in the designing, manufacturing, and selling of cars, trucks and automobile parts. It also provides automotive financing services through General Motors Financial Company, Inc. The firm operates through the following segments: GM North America, GM International, Cruise and GM Financial. The company sells vehicles under the Chevrolet, Cadillac, Baojun, Buick, GMC, Holden, Jiefang, Wuling, Maven, and OnStar brands. General Motors was founded by William C. Durant on September 16, 1908 and is headquartered in Detroit, MI. Social media mentions are up 33% in the past 24h.
He likes the carmakers. Trades at 4x forward PE. They're already making money (some companies are not). We don't know what will happen with tariffs, true, but tariffs on non-US carmakers will benefit the American ones. Sell the $45 put for April and collect $1.70.
(Analysts’ price target is $60.52)Ford and GM have some of the lowest PEs around (7.3x and 4.3x) vs. the 22x S&P average. Ford pays a 6.2% dividend yield, while GM has a huge buyback plan. Incredibly cheap--until the tariffs started. Remember: the car-makers were a huge reason why Trump used tariffs in his first term which lead to the USMCA trade deal. But now Trump wants to take away the qualities that made US cars competitive and affordable. Today, the car-makers got a one-month reprieve from Trump's tariffs and shares jumped. But if the car-makers wind up paying these tariffs, are we okay with the U.S. replacing cheap Mexican labour with expensive U.S. union labour? That's why these stocks are so cheap--their earnings are in grave danger. Value traps. A 25% tariff on Mexican imports is a subsidy for foreign car companies like Kia.
It's all about tariffs. Despite tariffs, GM's chart shows there is an escape hatch in the tariff war and GM will come out of it well. Valuation is a very cheap 6.8x enterprise value to EBITDA. Is a cash flow machine, with 20% of market cap is in buyback share mode. They recently increased their dividend. Are well managed. Best of breed. GM has done a nice pivot into EVs, though EV consumer adoption has slowed down, but will come back.
(Analysts’ price target is $62.48)A world with zero crashes, zero emissions and zero congestion. Our diverse team of over 165,000 employees brings their collective passion for engineering, technology and design to deliver on this ambitious future. And the bold commitments we’ve made are moving us closer to realizing this vision. Social media mentions are up 814% in the past 24h.
Depends on your risk tolerance. He's been looking at GM recently, but hasn't taken any action. Really good recent quarter, will be pressure on financing side of the business. Targets are pretty optimistic. Toyota is a safer bet for the next year or so; it's a giant company with improving profits, uncertainty on EV strategy is not a short-term game-changer. TSLA is his favourite EV play in the auto-making space. TSLA has already won the EV race, especially as to vertical integration.