Gildan Activewear Inc. (GIL.TO)

They reported a strong quarter recently and the stock surged 20%. It is well managed with good growth opportunity. The longer term growth opportunity remains good.

He would be wary of this stock. They have had a pattern of disappointing earnings, and not likely out of the woods yet. There is political unrest in Nicaragua where they operate.

Hold off right now. A lot of people lost money. The drop is a very negative sign. High volume not super significant yet. Probably more downside. Earnings next week, but this is like roulette with a 50/50 chance of going up. Even if it didn’t drop, only about a 1.7% yield, no positive uptrends, so wouldn’t buy, wouldn’t hold.

(A Top Pick January 20/17 Up 11%). Earlier in the year there were concerns the Trump Administration would institute a border adjusted import tax, but this seems to have faded away. They are a low cost producer and he continues to like it. Good company with a great balance sheet.

Great growth in recent years. They use cheap labour in foreign countries, which is a problem for some. Valuation is now more reasonable than before. They're getting better penetration and enjoy low costs. Is there risk exposure selling in the States given NAFTA concerns?

Has a huge market share in the screen printing business in the US. A good track record and good history, but doesn’t see huge upside growth. Prefers something where you can get a higher return and better dividend.

The market they are in is getting very competitive. It’s been a well managed company over the years, but it hasn’t shown up on his screen as being particularly value-oriented at this point.

For the last 5 years, the FMV has been sort of a fulcrum around which the stock has been trading. That fulcrum now is $36. The stock had a nice little run and is now backing off. He wouldn’t be surprised, given the history, that we are going to see further weakness. Wait for the $33-$34 area where you could get a good buying opportunity.

The problem with it is that the stock is fairly well valued. There has not been a lot of movement in the earnings for quite a while. It has been trading about its fair market value. It needs its earnings moving.

This has a huge presence in the screen printing business in the US and Canada. They did come out with conservative guidance over their last quarter, so the stock hasn’t performed very well. There is a little bit of uncertainty about what the retail sector looks like right now. He would look elsewhere.

(A Top Pick Feb 9/16. Up 9.1%.) He is constructive on this company because he thinks they are going to be able to construct their volumes over time. The stock price has come off because of concerns of border adjusted tariffs, and the impact it could have. However, they do have production in the US which mitigates some of that risk. A low-cost manufacturer. Still a Buy.