Stockchase Opinions

Stan Wong General Electric GE-N COMMENT Jun 23, 2016

This is doing all the right things. He likes it for the dividend of about 3% and its moderate growth. They are shedding off excess that maybe they shouldn’t have been in over the last 10-15 years. Continuing to shed assets that don’t make a lot of sense, and focusing on their core competency. However, the stock has moved sideways for a long period of time. The 200 day moving average is just moving sideways and slipping up ever slows gradually. At this price, he may take profits in order to enter at a lower price.

$31.190

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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HOLD

Aerospace, market leader, tailwinds are very strong with more travel from a growing middle class. Lots of money from maintenance contracts. Valuation OK. Strong capital allocation for growth. Don't worry about the paltry dividend. Very strong management. Top quality business.

HOLD

It was a wild ride. It made sense to spin off their businesses. The valuation is reasonable. Sit tight and see how this plays out if you already own.

DON'T BUY

Even now, there are too many cockroaches in this story. Other industrials, like Honeywell, are better.

PARTIAL SELL

Now a pure-play aircraft engine market leader. Sees it still dominating the jet engine market. Value score of 3/10. Analysts still see ~15% upside. Technically, looks to be trying to break out above $170; if it goes higher, could see a bit of a breakout.

Looks to be hitting a ceiling. Great run, aerospace is an exceptional business. Hold in short term and take some profits soon.

HOLD

Lots of moving parts. Healthcare side has lots of growth potential. Aerospace also has proven its worth. He'd leave it as it. Typically, spinoffs don't have the easiest time out of the gate, jury's out on Vernova. Hold the original, as it gives you a small slice of diversification right there.

HOLD

In the space, he owns GE (it's now purely jet engines after the spinoff). Also owns ERJ, which has an opportunity to win significant market share. 

BUY

They report next week. They benefit from Boeing's woes, because 70% of revenues are engines and services.

DON'T BUY

GE Aerospace is priced for perfection. The valuation has run up to the 40s PE. To justify this high PE, earnings growth must be in 20-25%. The market has gotten too exuberant with GE. Margins are up and they beat, and yet shares are down.

SELL

In the US industrial space, he'd be more inclined to look at the smaller- and mid-caps. Those will benefit from reshoring and lower interest rates.

PARTIAL SELL

Is up 49% this year. Take some profits. Led by a strong CEO. However, it's possible it could come down after this run.