Opinions
Bryn Talkington
Bitcoin Investment Trust
GBTC-OTC
COMMENT
Aug 30, 2023
N/A
Stock price when the opinion was issued
E.T.F.'s
It's the ideal tool to help you make quicker, more informed decisions for
managing and tracking your investments.
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COMMENT
News that the owner of a crypto exchange died and took the password to $190 million of cryptos with him. It's not the first issue in this space. Last year, there were similar problems in Asia with fraud or people losing the password. Generally, he sees how cryptos are useful in some cases, namely developing nations, but in a developed country with perfectly good banking, it raises the question of why tie up a lot of money in a crypto apart from speculating?
E.T.F.'s
DON'T BUY
Bitcoin has outperformed the price of gold since 2015, even after falling from its 2017 all-time high. Don't be emotional about investing. Have a thematic approach and be neutral. Be Zen towards the market. Use your system and not emotion. Bitcoin is in a downtrend since late-2017. He needs this to move out of this downtrend and show an upward move.
E.T.F.'s
SELL
According to technical analyst Larry Williams, 8 out of 9 times in the 270-day cycle, Bitcoin has reached a stage where it sold off hard. The last sell-off was Feb-June 2023, then it turned positive. Before that was July-October 2022 when it sold off again. Also, Williams notes that when Bitcoin gets very overvalued vs. gold that Bitcoin hits an inflection point and Bitcoin sells off. Third, Bitcoin is seeing high volumes in it, and that typically signals a sell-off to come. Fourth, his data tells him that professionals are selling into strength. Expect a little weakness, then a bounceback, then Bitcoin will decline hard.
E.T.F.'s
Early this year, GBTC had a 50% discount to Bitcoin's price, but now only 18%. She owns a small position. All the fraud that happened last year in this space was a game-changer, so she wants to see the actual use cases of open AI in relation to crypto before she invests. A big wait and see.