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TSE:G
A gold bullion EFT will give you gold exposure but a gold stock gives you gold leverage and possibly financial leverage. G-T used to be the darling. They had some hiccups and are now having to build street credibility, but the fix is in. He owns AEM-T. G-T would be his second choice of a name. He is looking for more clarity from G-T. He thinks this will be a name people will go to because it is an under owned name.
If you want to buy the story, first of all you have to ask yourself if you want to own gold. Gold is looking very bullish. Lower rates used to be the driver of gold, but now you have higher rates and gold is acting well. There’s been all the crypto competition coming in now, and yet the metal is acting really, really well. What is really going on is that the US$ has been weak for the last year. If you believe in gold, this company sets up pretty nicely. They plan to advance organic growth in their portfolio, instead of M&A. The stock is pretty cheap, trading around 1X its NAV. He models 20% cash flow per share growth over the next couple of years.
It’s unusual for him to recommend a gold company, but this is one of North America's largest. It’s located in Mexico, Chile, Dominican Republic and Argentina. Relative to other gold companies, you are taking on less political risk. They target growth between 2017-2021 of 20% lower costs, 20% growing reserves and 20% growing cash flow. Dividend yield of 0.7%. (Analysts' price target is $22.69.)
Gold has always had an outsized place in Canadian investors' minds, even more than in the United States. However, gold now competes with other quasi-moneys, like crypto currencies. Many people prefer the newer alternatives, seeing gold as old fashioned, maybe even medieval. He has no use for gold in a portfolio and does not see it having much value as a hedging instrument. He has been zero-weighted in precious metals for a long time.