Element Fleet Management (EFN.TO)

Unknown in Canada so it's subject to volatility. It's the North American and Australian leader in fleet management. Generates a lot of free cash flow. Trades at a discount to book value at 8x next year's earnings. (4.3% dividend, Analysts' price target: $7.55)

This was rumoured to be up for sale but the value-maximization process failed and many US catalyst-investors dumped their shares, creating a compelling valuation. It trades at 0.7x book, which is well below its historical average and below the industry. They do fleet management, their leasing business is fairly stable and mainly in the U.S. They have good customer diversity and increasing origination. The yield is 5% and well covered. He thinks the worst is behind this stock and it is time to pick it up. (Analysts’ price target is $7.06)

(A Top Pick Sept 27/17, down 27%). Company generates a lot of free cash flow. All through their downturn, still generated free cash flow. Market leader in fleet management, have worked through their earlier problems, insider buyer in stock, and pays a nice dividend. Is cheap at this price. Really likes it.

He used to own it. They had an opportunity to grow their leasing platform in the U.S., but in mid-2016 their strategy stalled. They tried to sell data analytics to their clients without success. That's when he exited. Also, management has turned over recently and the company is now heavily leveraged. Stock is cheap, so now may be an opportunity. The risk has likely passed.

The split created liquidity. It is low now. In his experience stock don’t do well after splits. Hitting lows on high volume which is not positive.

Lost half its value this year. Doesn't look good, fundamentally. Buy on a short-term basis. Stock has been consolidating. Set a $3.80 stop. Could reach $5 short-term. Volume is okay.

Like Bombardier, management and the board are poor. They've destroyed large amounts of value. Yield is over 7% and questionable if it can last while their capital ratios are impaired. Banks and funding partners may not lend them money.

The high yield suggests the dividend might be at risk, however, it has a modest 15% payout ratio. The biggest challenge is that earnings were down 21% and now analysts are revising their earnings down 18%. The stock appears cheap at a 6 times earnings price. At the moment, because of the high-yield he thinks there is more risk than he is comfortable with. Yield 7.4%.