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EnerCare IncECI.TOBUY ON WEAKNESSApr 21, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
Shareholders are having to decide to wait for the BIP-T shares after the recent acquisition or sell near the $29 offering price – should they wait? He thinks the market is clearly expecting the deal to proceed. This offers investors less downside and more upside. He would recommending waiting for the conversion and taking the BIP-T shares.
He has been very interested in it based on the news today of Brookfield acquiring it. Brookfield are an astute buyer. There is a 53% premium attached to this transaction based on yesterday’s close which is roughly the gain today. The strategic process has been open for a few months. Brookfield normally make an offer at a lower price and hope the target management team takes it. Are there likely other buyers? He does not think there are. Brookfield may be the only game in town. If hold stock, will hold to see if Brookfield sweetens the pot but once gets close to offer price, would be selling.
They have a very stable business. They rent their water heaters to consumers and when the heaters fail people normally rent another one. This stability allows Enercare to pay a high dividend. Rising interest rates are the enemy of yield stocks, including Enercare but the dividend is likely to rise and the stock has gone down too much. (Analysts' price target is $24)
He sold after the most recent quarterly earnings report. Their earnings seem to be stalled. There are complaints about the company from customers. When you buy a house, then if there is a hot water heater contract, then you, the buyer, are tied to it. He is not comfortable owning it any more. It has a nice dividend yield, though.
Doesn't look good now. It's had many down days recently. People buy it for the yield, but you still lose if the stock price falls. The next support is $15.45 with minor support at $16.30. Look at the 30-day moving average--if it breaks above that, then it's worth looking at. Been volatile lately and its volume declining is a negative. Don't buy now, just watch it.
This has everything going for it, except valuation. They beat Q4, due to strength in their service experts and their home services segment. Increased their dividend by 4%. Trading a little higher than its 3-year average, and he prefers buying names that are a little lower or where there is a catalyst. He sees 9% EBITDA growth over the next couple of years. Wait for a pullback before buying.