
TSE:DOL
Whole witches' brew of things in the global economy that are impacting consumer spending. Higher interest rates, lack of rate cuts. Stock's still 33x PE. Higher valuation stocks tend to get hurt the most with interest rates rising.
On the other side of a phenomenal growth runway. Not opening as many stores, and those returns aren't as good. Mature company, growth hard to come by, so it's going international (less profitable). Don't buy the dip at this point.
It recently touched 40x PE, but has fallen to the mid-30s. Is a great business and likes it long term. He has scaled back his weighting over time because of valuation. Also, it is priced for perfection, so even good, but imperfect earnings impact the stock. He may add to it when its PE returns to the mid-20s.
Wonderful business, adds a lot of value for customers. He struggles with the valuation, given its growth profile. To get a good longer-term return, you need earnings growth and multiple expansion.
WMT, as well as COST and DOL, are very defensive havens for investors. That's bid up the shares. PE ratios for the three are all north of 40x. With just a slight moderation in the PE, the overall return will still be flat. He'd be interested on a significant pullback. Be patient.
The first stock she ever bought, but doesn't own it for clients. Valuation has been so high there's risk of multiple compression if growth comes down. Didn't think it could continue growth trajectory as strongly as it has. Dividend yield not high, which makes sense when the company is redeploying $$ back into growing its business.
Expanding internationally. Trade-down economics at work in this weakening economy.
If it's 10% of your portfolio, trim. Don't add more at these valuations.
Lends itself to both consumer staples and consumer discretionary. Growth has been fantastic. Same-store sales growth has been good. Strategy has worked, and now expanding internationally. High valuation; he's not one to buy these stocks where growth doesn't justify valuation (yet COST is north of 50x PE).
Should continue to grow, but you may not see the same performance of past years. Worries about impact of tariffs on goods; hasn't seen it yet in the numbers, but pay attention. It's a risk with this lower-margin business.
When times are tough, consumers gravitate to Walmart, Costco and Dollarama. DOL does a great job providing value to customers. He wishes he owned it. Problem is the high valuation, from high-30s to mid-30s, which remains too high.